NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	4.9 [804]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (GSW): +9.5%
Golden State Warriors	101		Comeback	1.2 [286]		LVP	Tony Delk (GSW): -15.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dee Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Bruce Bowen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	0.00	0.03	8	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	29	38%	-0.10	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
Dana Barros	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	10	50%	-0.07	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	22	45%	0.05	7	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.02	0.04	19	71%	0.16	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	9	61%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	16	53%	0.03	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	57%	0.03	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	0.01	0.01	19	40%	-0.07	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.9	2.6	22.4	15.6	28.2	1.8	40.2	130.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +40.9%

BOS -1.2%

GSW +8.1%

BOS -1.8%

GSW +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	GSW	NBA	BOS	GSW	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.6	95.6	106.3	102.5
season	15.1	15.6		100.2	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.1		102.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.9	15.5	15.5	13.3	15.4
GSW	15.0	17.3	17.3	13.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Minor	12	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-11	8	15.8	15.3	0.49	14.9	15.7	-0.74
Bruce Bowen	29	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-11	8	15.0	15.6	-0.60	13.8	16.3	-2.49
Dee Brown	45	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.06	-5	-9	4	13.4	17.3	-3.93	15.0	16.1	-1.07
Chauncey Billups	49	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-8	2	15.8	15.0	0.76	16.6	14.4	2.24
Travis Knight	21	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	-5	-4	16.2	15.2	1.08	14.4	15.9	-1.49
Andrew DeClercq	51	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-6	-2	17.0	13.4	3.63	17.2	13.3	3.81
Dana Barros	42	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-6	-2	15.0	15.8	-0.76	14.4	16.6	-2.24
Antoine Walker	83	88	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-7	0	15.4	15.6	-0.24	15.6	15.0	0.60
Ron Mercer	64	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-4	-6	15.9	14.3	1.53	16.0	14.7	1.30
Walter McCarty	59	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-3	-8	14.9	16.3	-1.45	15.4	15.9	-0.58

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	69	65	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	-4	22	14.7	17.8	-3.04	16.3	13.2	3.10
Brandon Williams	49	45	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	5	4	16.5	14.5	2.01	16.8	14.0	2.76
Erick Dampier	73	69	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.12	5	9	-4	15.5	15.7	-0.22	14.7	17.6	-2.88
Bimbo Coles	34	31	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	0	14	13.7	16.6	-2.88	14.6	15.8	-1.25
Muggsy Bogues	37	38	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	11	-8	15.9	15.3	0.55	15.9	15.1	0.84
Felton Spencer	17	17	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	5	4	14.6	15.8	-1.18	16.6	15.1	1.45
David Vaughn	30	30	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	11	-8	16.9	14.9	2.01	15.3	15.4	-0.11
Donyell Marshall	81	76	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	10	-6	15.8	14.4	1.32	14.8	18.6	-3.82
Tony Delk	70	68	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	12	-10	15.6	15.4	0.16	14.6	17.8	-3.24
Adonal Foyle	10	11	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	11	-8	15.6	15.6	0.05	14.7	15.5	-0.77
Todd Fuller	5	5	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	14	-14	19.6	15.3	4.27	21.0	15.1	5.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 85, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
MIN 100, WAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.69,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1	95.4%
MIA 87, SAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.71,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%