NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	6.4 [481]		MVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): +13.4%
San Antonio Spurs	81		Comeback	1.8 [259]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (PHX): -12.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.02	0.02	19	66%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Danny Manning	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.00	12	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	8	69%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	9	61%	0.09	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	14	29%	-0.12	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	40%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	9	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	11	18%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	13	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	27	46%	-0.05	2	-0.06	11	73%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	24.3	15.4	23.4	2.4	27.6	118.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +45.3%

SAS -1.7%

SAS -9.5%

PHX +14.5%

PHX +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	14.8	17.9	15.6	108.0	91.0	102.5
season	15.0	15.9		105.3	100.9
opponent	15.9	15.9		97.2	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.0	14.0	18.0	14.4	14.8
SAS	18.9	17.9	14.1	20.9	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	45	44	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.08	18	-5	23	15.0	14.7	0.24	19.1	16.6	2.45
Antonio McDyess	62	65	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	0	13	14.5	15.8	-1.35	17.0	20.1	-3.11
Jason Kidd	86	88	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.06	18	-5	23	14.8	17.0	-2.19	18.0	5.0	13.00
Kevin Johnson	51	51	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.11	16	-3	19	14.2	15.7	-1.46	18.6	16.8	1.86
Steve Nash	54	56	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	4	5	14.3	15.7	-1.43	17.8	18.0	-0.23
George McCloud	43	44	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	11	-9	15.5	14.2	1.33	16.6	19.1	-2.54
Mark Bryant	3	2	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	11	-9	16.0	14.8	1.20	20.5	17.8	2.71
Hot Rod Williams	22	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	13	-13	14.3	15.0	-0.70	20.5	17.0	3.43
Rex Chapman	27	30	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.04	-4	17	-21	16.1	14.3	1.79	17.1	18.2	-1.14
Clifford Robinson	42	44	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	22	-31	15.5	14.2	1.23	17.2	18.5	-1.33

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Alexander	7	7	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.06	3	-16	19	21.7	17.5	4.19	17.3	14.6	2.66
Carl Herrera	21	19	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-12	11	18.3	17.7	0.63	13.5	15.2	-1.75
Reggie Geary	8	9	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.05	2	-15	17	20.0	17.6	2.36	16.6	14.6	1.91
David Robinson	32	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-9	5	19.3	17.0	2.33	14.1	15.3	-1.20
Chuck Person	45	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-3	-7	15.3	20.5	-5.14	14.3	15.4	-1.10
Will Perdue	48	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-13	13	17.6	18.2	-0.59	15.7	13.8	1.92
Jaren Jackson	75	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-9	5	17.9	17.7	0.17	15.5	11.5	3.98
Tim Duncan	84	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-3	-7	17.8	18.6	-0.79	15.0	11.4	3.65
Avery Johnson	74	71	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.14	-18	5	-23	17.3	20.8	-3.54	14.4	16.9	-2.49
Vinny Del Negro	51	52	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.03	-23	10	-33	19.3	16.0	3.28	14.2	15.7	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.25,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.2,0.21,0.01,0,0	93.7%
LAL 90, NOH 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.47,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.33,0.26,0.07,0.1,0,0	93.3%
MIL 105, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.28,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.01,0	93.3%