NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	91		Excitement	6.7 [434]		MVP	Vernon Maxwell (CHH): +23.5%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	1.8 [598]		LVP	Glen Rice (CHH): -21.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.11	0.00	12	73%	0.23	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
J.R. Reid	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
B.J. Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.05	-0.03	11	50%	-0.04	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.04	0.04	8	54%	-0.08	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Travis Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	6	40%	-0.08	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Anthony Mason	-0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	12	46%	-0.03	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Glen Rice	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.09	-0.00	13	37%	-0.18	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.12	0.00	19	63%	0.27	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.03	3	112%	0.17	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	71%	0.11	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	8	55%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Herb Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	13	43%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Allan Houston	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	17	51%	0.01	3	-0.11	7	71%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	1.6	28.4	16.5	27.2	1.8	33.4	129.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +59.4%

CHH -1.7%

CHH -10.9%

CHH -2.7%

NYK +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NYK	NBA	CHH	NYK	NBA
this game	16.7	16.8	15.6	105.8	115.1	102.5
season	15.7	15.7		104.0	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.9		98.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.9	16.9	16.3	17.6	16.7
NYK	16.1	18.3	15.6	17.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Reid	39	39	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-14	20	18.0	15.6	2.40	17.7	16.1	1.63
Matt Geiger	45	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-7	6	16.2	17.2	-0.97	16.7	17.0	-0.25
Donald Royal	35	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-1	-6	17.5	16.1	1.34	16.4	17.1	-0.67
David Wesley	61	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-7	6	16.9	16.0	0.88	16.9	16.7	0.21
B.J. Armstrong	26	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	1	-10	15.8	17.0	-1.28	15.6	17.4	-1.74
Glen Rice	66	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	0	-8	16.9	15.9	0.99	16.8	17.1	-0.29
Travis Williams	36	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.46	3	-11	14	15.6	17.4	-1.76	18.5	15.8	2.64
Vernon Maxwell	52	54	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	-2	-4	16.5	16.9	-0.31	16.6	17.2	-0.63
Anthony Mason	70	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.12	-17	9	-26	16.3	18.1	-1.72	16.5	18.3	-1.83

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	78	77	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	0	8	16.5	20.0	-3.50	16.6	17.3	-0.75
John Starks	52	51	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.35	5	3	2	16.7	17.0	-0.29	16.4	17.0	-0.62
Chris Mills	66	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-1	10	17.2	15.6	1.60	16.5	17.4	-0.91
Allan Houston	72	73	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-1	10	16.5	18.4	-1.83	16.7	16.3	0.42
Charlie Ward	45	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	-4	16	15.9	17.9	-2.01	16.1	17.2	-1.11
Chris Childs	41	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	12	-16	17.9	15.9	2.01	17.2	16.1	1.11
Herb Williams	24	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	8	-8	18.2	16.3	1.92	17.2	16.4	0.81
Chris Dudley	52	51	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	7	-6	16.7	17.0	-0.24	16.9	16.3	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.95,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 88, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.88,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.95,1,1	93.3%
CHA 73, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	93.1%
CHI 102, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.9%