NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	83		Excitement	7.3 [338]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +29.4%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	1.3 [586]		LVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): -35.1%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ike Austin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	12	52%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dan Majerle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	14	55%	0.02	3	-0.12	12	83%	0.04
Jamal Mashburn	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	18	52%	-0.04	3	-0.09	6	83%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.11	-0.02	8	35%	-0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.28,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.27,-0.35	-0.19	-0.15	0.01	14	40%	-0.23	4	-0.13	14	57%	-0.09

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.14	0.17	0.02	24	62%	0.29	0	0.00	8	100%	0.07
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	2	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	56%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Herb Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Allan Houston	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	17	51%	-0.06	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.03
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	10	36%	-0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.14	-0.02	10	54%	0.01	4	-0.19	4	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	32.7	17.7	31.4	2.5	43.2	158.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +48.1%

NYK +18.6%

MIA -9.6%

MIA -5.5%

MIA -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.6	16.2	15.6	95.4	100.0	102.5
season	15.8	15.7		104.7	100.4
opponent	16.3	16.2		98.6	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.1	19.4	16.0	16.0	16.6
NYK	15.5	16.6	18.2	14.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Murdock	35	37	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.04	4	-10	14	17.9	15.7	2.18	15.1	16.9	-1.79
Dan Majerle	9	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-3	0	22.7	15.8	6.82	14.1	16.4	-2.26
Ike Austin	40	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-7	8	18.1	15.2	2.87	17.4	15.1	2.33
P.J. Brown	77	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-5	4	16.6	16.5	0.06	16.2	15.9	0.30
Tim Hardaway	74	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-5	4	16.1	19.2	-3.15	16.8	12.4	4.35
Jamal Mashburn	87	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	16.6	0.0	16.55	16.2	0.0	16.18
Alonzo Mourning	64	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.34	-8	2	-10	15.3	20.1	-4.86	16.1	16.3	-0.15
Voshon Lenard	49	51	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.38	-16	10	-26	15.6	17.8	-2.15	15.4	17.3	-1.94

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	82	80	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.41	11	-5	16	16.2	16.0	0.20	16.8	13.7	3.09
Allan Houston	57	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-5	16	16.5	15.5	1.01	17.3	15.1	2.18
Charles Oakley	76	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	2	2	15.9	17.8	-1.86	15.3	23.1	-7.86
Chris Dudley	32	31	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.22	4	2	2	16.8	15.8	0.99	19.3	15.0	4.25
Charlie Ward	38	39	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	-2	10	15.4	16.8	-1.37	16.0	17.0	-1.00
Chris Childs	54	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	9	-12	15.9	16.6	-0.74	16.5	16.7	-0.20
John Starks	56	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	10	-14	16.3	16.0	0.33	16.3	16.9	-0.64
Herb Williams	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	17.3	15.8	1.45	14.7	17.2	-2.50
Chris Mills	28	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.20	1	5	-4	15.9	16.3	-0.37	17.5	16.1	1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 86, SAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.76,0.82,0.69,0.63,0.76,0.96,1	92.6%
LAL 84, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.99,1	91.9%
WAS 117, NYK 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.99,1	91.7%