inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 88 Excitement7.0 [390] MVPReggie Miller (IND): +18.5%
Indiana Pacers 95 Comeback7.5 [456] LVPRon Mercer (BOS): -25.0%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.060.090.00390%0.1500.00475%0.01
Travis Knight0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.040.010.02-0.01950%0.0400.002100%0.01
John Thomas-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00267%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Dana Barros-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.02-0.00367%0.021-0.046100%0.05
Dee Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.04819%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.040,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.040.05-0.050.031064%-0.001-0.03250%-0.01
Bruce Bowen-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.040.00250%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Greg Minor-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Walter McCarty-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00530%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.250,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25-0.20-0.07-0.032537%-0.183-0.071060%-0.04
Ron Mercer-0.250,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25-0.13-0.13-0.011733%-0.221-0.03560%-0.03

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Miller0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.190.190.120.100.031571%0.211-0.021580%0.01
Fred Hoiberg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.040.002125%0.0900.0000%0.00
Dale Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.01475%0.0700.0000%0.00
Chris Mullin0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.020.011257%0.0500.006100%0.04
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.010.00455%0.0100.00367%-0.01
Rik Smits0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02-0.02-0.060.02-0.021838%-0.0200.003100%0.02
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01150%-0.0300.00667%-0.02
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.01-0.00650%0.043-0.0800%0.00
Mark Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.12-0.03-0.02325%-0.034-0.102100%0.01
Derrick McKey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.15-0.04-0.03520%-0.045-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.526.314.726.21.738.0132.7
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +60.7%
IND +11.8%
BOS -14.1%
BOS -4.8%
BOS -3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSINDNBABOSINDNBA
this game16.115.415.694.6105.6102.5
season15.116.0100.2105.3
opponent16.115.199.2103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.317.715.715.916.1
IND16.015.013.716.915.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dana Barros30290.30-0.801.10-0.0512-193115.716.3-0.5516.914.62.32
John Thomas980.15-0.650.80-0.088-152315.916.1-0.2414.215.5-1.21
Walter McCarty4143-0.09-0.410.33-0.03-2-5315.516.6-1.0215.715.10.61
Dee Brown3332-0.21-0.290.08-0.210-7714.916.8-1.8614.615.8-1.13
Bruce Bowen3229-0.21-0.290.08-0.15-2-5317.115.61.4615.015.5-0.47
Travis Knight6057-0.22-0.280.07-0.220-7716.315.80.5415.115.7-0.59
Andrew DeClercq3333-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.08-70-715.816.3-0.5415.715.10.59
Ron Mercer6562-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.11-70-716.315.70.5615.814.31.50
Greg Minor2020-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.10-92-1116.516.00.5614.815.5-0.65
Antoine Walker7976-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.20-92-1116.315.11.2215.514.70.76
Chauncey Billups6361-0.800.30-1.10-0.24-1912-3116.315.70.5514.616.9-2.32

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Mullin70710.77-0.271.040.2418-112915.215.8-0.6415.717.4-1.70
Antonio Davis39420.62-0.120.730.5043115.015.6-0.5816.515.80.63
Mark Jackson60630.51-0.010.520.1612-51715.415.30.0315.716.9-1.17
Rik Smits61640.460.040.410.228-1915.614.90.6316.016.3-0.29
Reggie Miller67690.450.050.400.2470714.916.7-1.8615.418.1-2.72
Dale Davis40410.210.29-0.08-0.069-21115.015.6-0.6016.315.90.42
Fred Hoiberg23240.050.45-0.400.0507-716.714.91.8618.115.42.72
Travis Best3030-0.010.51-0.520.14-512-1715.315.4-0.0316.915.71.17
Jalen Rose2022-0.270.77-1.040.05-1118-2915.815.20.6417.415.71.70
Derrick McKey4039-0.280.78-1.06-0.08-714-2115.715.10.6215.616.4-0.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.7,0.83,0.72,0.6,0.41,0.4,0.68,0.84,0.96,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 106, DET 1100.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.73,0.75,0.93,0.97,0.99,190.6%
NJN 92, WAS 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.67,0.86,0.7,0.78,0.85,190.3%
POR 93, MEM 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.46,0.56,0.84,0.77,0.9,190.0%