NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	93		Excitement	8.0 [244]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +11.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	96		Comeback	7.1 [80]		LVP	Derek Anderson (POR): -19.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	25	53%	0.09	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08	0.01	0.08	0.00	6	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	18	55%	0.03	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.06
Rasheed Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	15	53%	-0.00	2	-0.09	6	50%	-0.05
Damon Stoudamire	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	6	17%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	6	17%	-0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.2	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	10	24%	-0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.01	7	93%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	13	61%	0.14	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	87%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	12	50%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	6	75%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Robert Archibald	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.05
Ryan Humphrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	18	45%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	29.1	15.4	22.4	2.8	33.0	128.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +53.7%

MEM +7.6%

MEM +0.8%

POR -16.3%

MEM +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.5	98.9	103.2	101.6
season	16.0	15.3		104.3	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.7		105.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.0	16.7	17.6	15.4	15.9
MEM	16.0	12.1	14.4	17.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	69	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-7	11	16.2	15.2	1.01	15.5	13.3	2.15
Qyntel Woods	26	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	4	-11	15.6	16.0	-0.40	14.2	15.1	-0.92
Arvydas Sabonis	25	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.18	-1	-2	1	17.5	15.3	2.20	14.8	14.9	-0.07
Zach Randolph	79	78	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-7	11	15.4	18.4	-2.97	14.7	15.7	-0.92
Bonzi Wells	68	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.41	4	-7	11	16.0	15.6	0.40	15.1	14.2	0.92
Jeff McInnis	50	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-3	3	15.1	16.8	-1.76	15.0	14.8	0.23
Derek Anderson	70	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.17	-10	7	-17	16.1	15.4	0.65	14.2	16.8	-2.56
Rasheed Wallace	83	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	6	-15	16.0	15.2	0.82	15.0	13.6	1.45

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	68	70	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.43	7	-4	11	15.2	14.0	1.22	16.0	15.6	0.38
Wesley Person	60	61	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-3	9	15.5	13.7	1.81	15.7	16.2	-0.47
Pau Gasol	68	70	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	-2	7	15.2	14.0	1.28	15.7	16.6	-0.91
Shane Battier	59	60	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.52	0	3	-3	15.5	13.8	1.68	16.2	15.4	0.82
Stromile Swift	69	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-2	7	15.6	13.0	2.55	15.9	15.8	0.09
Mike Batiste	45	43	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	-2	7	13.9	15.8	-1.90	16.0	15.8	0.18
Earl Watson	33	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	6	-9	13.7	15.5	-1.81	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Robert Archibald	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	4	-5	12.0	15.4	-3.36	17.6	15.6	1.99
Brevin Knight	25	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	7	-11	14.0	15.2	-1.22	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Ryan Humphrey	25	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	8	-13	14.0	15.2	-1.28	15.2	16.2	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.46,0.56,0.84,0.77,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 116, NOP 125	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.77,1,1	90.8%
POR 86, SEA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.47,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.78,0.67,0.95,1	90.7%
MEM 89, NOP 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.92,1	90.6%