NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Excitement	9.1 [99]		MVP	Reggie Jordan (MIN): +21.0%
Dallas Mavericks	110		Comeback	86.7 [15]		LVP	Dennis Scott (DAL): -17.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Jordan	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.02	0.19	-0.00	3	67%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,0.12,0.2,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	8	68%	0.20	1	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.07	0.07	0.05	16	62%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	17	53%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	17	55%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.09,-0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	19	52%	0.13	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.04
Cherokee Parks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	7	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Doug West	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.18	0.01	18	67%	0.31	5	-0.10	7	100%	0.03
A.C. Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	3	86%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	22	48%	0.12	2	-0.10	4	25%	-0.08
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.11	-0.01	13	54%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	7	50%	-0.15	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.07
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	15	51%	-0.04	4	-0.13	7	71%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.1	1.4	27.3	15.8	24.2	1.8	35.2	1.6	22.4	151.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +9.5%

MIN +19.2%

MIN +7.3%

MIN +14.1%

DAL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	13.0	16.2	15.6	105.6	100.0	102.5
season	14.8	15.8		105.3	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		104.6	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	13.8	13.6	13.0	12.3	11.9	13.0
DAL	15.6	15.8	16.8	17.7	14.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Porter	61	62	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.25	22	-19	41	12.2	14.2	-1.99	16.7	15.6	1.10
Reggie Jordan	39	37	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.51	10	-7	17	13.5	12.7	0.78	16.6	16.1	0.53
Kevin Garnett	88	90	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-3	9	12.8	14.2	-1.45	16.8	13.9	2.87
Stephon Marbury	93	94	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	0	3	13.1	12.7	0.35	16.3	15.9	0.36
Sam Mitchell	42	41	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.14	13	-10	23	11.3	14.2	-2.89	17.4	15.6	1.86
Tom Gugliotta	86	89	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.50	-12	15	-27	13.8	9.7	4.17	15.1	20.9	-5.76
Cherokee Parks	20	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	3	-3	10.5	13.6	-3.10	17.5	15.9	1.62
Chris Carr	67	74	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	6	-9	13.0	13.1	-0.09	16.2	16.3	-0.13
Doug West	19	19	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.03	-6	9	-15	14.4	12.7	1.64	14.4	16.6	-2.27
Stanley Roberts	20	22	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	0.21	-18	21	-39	17.1	12.1	5.02	14.7	16.6	-1.95

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.C. Green	55	52	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.24	4	-7	11	16.5	15.9	0.60	13.8	12.3	1.46
Khalid Reeves	11	11	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-6	9	15.5	16.3	-0.78	14.0	12.9	1.09
Shawn Bradley	31	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-8	13	17.2	15.9	1.28	11.6	13.6	-1.93
Dennis Scott	87	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-4	5	16.4	15.7	0.70	13.1	12.8	0.31
Samaki Walker	98	98	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.51	6	-9	15	15.7	20.6	-4.87	13.1	12.2	0.87
Hubert Davis	94	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.52	0	-3	3	16.4	15.4	1.02	13.2	12.0	1.22
Erick Strickland	46	45	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.23	-10	7	-17	14.8	17.2	-2.40	12.5	13.4	-0.91
Robert Pack	23	24	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.10	-17	14	-31	18.4	15.7	2.77	12.3	13.2	-0.94
Michael Finley	105	101	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.41	-7	4	-11	16.3	15.8	0.47	13.0	12.7	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.47,0.75,0.63,0.57,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 109, DAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.55,0.68,0.82,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.16,0	88.8%
DEN 113, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.02,0	87.3%
DAL 112, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.6,0.67,0.9,0.78,0.77,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.22,0.01,0	86.8%