NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	82		Excitement	4.6 [867]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +4.3%
Orlando Magic	90		Comeback	1.0 [916]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -18.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	-0.00	-0.05	12	58%	0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Minor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	7	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	16	34%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	8	31%	-0.07	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	28	37%	-0.10	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	79%	0.09	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	9	44%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	72%	0.06	6	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	-0.09	6	67%	0.03	8	-0.06	9	89%	0.03
Horace Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	45%	-0.04	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.06	13	50%	-0.01	5	-0.07	12	58%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.3	24.4	15.5	29.9	2.0	32.0	127.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +32.1%

ORL +16.1%

BOS -3.2%

ORL +0.4%

ORL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.5	15.6	87.2	96.8	102.5
season	15.1	16.7		100.2	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.1		101.4	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.8	17.0	16.6	14.3	16.3
ORL	15.7	16.5	13.4	12.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Minor	8	9	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-12	16	14.4	16.5	-2.15	17.1	14.2	2.94
Dana Barros	50	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.24	6	-14	20	16.5	16.2	0.30	13.2	15.9	-2.62
Bruce Bowen	37	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.20	4	-12	16	16.6	16.1	0.51	13.0	15.5	-2.50
John Thomas	22	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-12	16	13.0	17.4	-4.36	11.3	15.3	-3.95
Dee Brown	34	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-6	4	15.7	16.7	-0.99	14.6	14.4	0.19
Andrew DeClercq	29	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-2	-4	17.6	15.8	1.75	14.2	14.5	-0.31
Travis Knight	43	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	5	-18	16.2	16.4	-0.20	14.2	14.7	-0.54
Ron Mercer	53	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.04	-14	6	-20	18.2	14.0	4.19	15.5	13.1	2.43
Antoine Walker	79	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	-1	-6	17.0	12.9	4.05	15.4	9.0	6.42
Walter McCarty	70	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-4	0	15.4	19.1	-3.74	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Chauncey Billups	45	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	4	-16	15.9	16.7	-0.82	15.3	13.6	1.67

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rony Seikaly	69	70	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.18	14	-6	20	13.7	16.6	-2.87	16.7	15.2	1.46
Bo Outlaw	81	83	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-5	18	14.7	12.7	2.05	16.0	18.6	-2.60
Darrell Armstrong	61	63	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-7	22	13.7	15.9	-2.17	15.9	17.3	-1.37
Derek Harper	52	55	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.13	21	-13	34	14.5	14.3	0.20	17.5	14.7	2.86
Horace Grant	77	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-3	14	14.4	14.7	-0.28	16.4	16.0	0.41
Mark Price	46	45	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.43	-13	21	-34	14.5	14.4	0.05	15.1	17.5	-2.40
Dan Schayes	9	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	10	-12	17.7	14.1	3.56	14.1	16.5	-2.42
Brian Evans	34	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.25	-8	16	-24	13.9	14.8	-0.90	16.6	16.2	0.39
Vernon Maxwell	27	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.17	-7	15	-22	15.9	13.8	2.08	17.1	16.1	1.06
Gerald Wilkins	9	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	12	-16	17.1	14.2	2.94	16.7	16.3	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 97, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
UTA 101, LAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
ORL 94, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.8%