NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	105		Excitement	7.0 [377]		MVP	Ron Harper (CHI): +26.4%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	1.8 [591]		LVP	Luc Longley (CHI): -26.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Harper	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.17	0.08	-0.02	13	78%	0.26	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Michael Jordan	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.23,0.21,0.21	-0.02	0.22	-0.02	25	56%	0.30	4	-0.08	11	91%	0.06
Steve Kerr	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	8	69%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Dennis Rodman	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	73%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Bill Wennington	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	11	57%	0.05	5	-0.17	1	0%	-0.02
Luc Longley	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.33,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.16	-0.10	0.00	11	38%	-0.06	5	-0.21	4	50%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.10	-0.02	10	50%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	12	71%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	22	47%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Charles O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	21	58%	0.08	5	-0.19	11	82%	0.02
Bison Dele	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	14	32%	-0.18	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.5	23.6	16.4	25.4	2.4	31.6	129.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +50.5%

CHI +5.2%

CHI +12.3%

DET -17.7%

DET -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	16.5	14.8	15.6	114.1	104.3	102.5
season	16.2	15.9		105.8	102.8
opponent	15.9	15.8		101.1	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.4	17.4	15.6	17.9	16.5
DET	14.0	13.9	15.7	15.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	49	50	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.26	10	-1	11	17.5	15.4	2.16	14.6	15.0	-0.31
Michael Jordan	89	90	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	0	9	16.6	14.3	2.26	14.8	15.0	-0.22
Dennis Rodman	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.30	5	4	1	16.7	16.0	0.63	14.7	15.0	-0.35
Luc Longley	62	64	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	1	7	15.7	18.3	-2.64	15.0	14.4	0.56
Ron Harper	68	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	3	3	16.1	17.7	-1.61	15.2	13.8	1.31
Jud Buechler	23	25	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	2	5	15.3	16.9	-1.62	15.7	14.4	1.29
Bill Wennington	11	10	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	6	-3	16.3	16.6	-0.28	13.8	14.9	-1.10
Toni Kukoc	61	61	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	8	-7	17.4	14.9	2.49	14.4	15.5	-1.15
Scott Burrell	27	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	13	-17	16.3	16.6	-0.27	14.3	15.0	-0.66

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Mahorn	41	41	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.18	12	-21	33	14.8	14.8	0.04	16.0	16.9	-0.94
Charles O'Bannon	8	9	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-10	11	14.1	14.8	-0.72	16.1	16.6	-0.46
Jerome Williams	2	2	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.05	-1	-8	7	18.0	14.7	3.29	9.5	16.7	-7.18
Eric Montross	11	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.11	-9	0	-9	16.1	14.6	1.49	14.6	16.8	-2.23
Grant Long	34	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-6	3	13.8	15.3	-1.52	17.9	15.7	2.16
Malik Sealy	29	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-4	-1	14.8	14.8	0.02	17.7	15.9	1.80
Joe Dumars	82	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-4	-1	14.7	15.4	-0.69	16.2	18.4	-2.18
Jerry Stackhouse	90	89	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	0	-9	14.8	15.0	-0.22	16.6	14.3	2.26
Grant Hill	87	87	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	1	-11	14.7	15.6	-0.86	16.3	19.8	-3.47
Bison Dele	76	76	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.25	-16	7	-23	15.1	13.1	2.01	16.7	15.7	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.39,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 115, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.29,0.14,0,0	93.2%
LAL 93, DEN 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.22,0.09,0.04,0	92.8%
CHA 93, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.04,0	92.0%