NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	115		Excitement	5.3 [731]		MVP	Jim Jackson (PHI): +11.7%
Vancouver Grizzlies	104		Comeback	2.9 [199]		LVP	Pete Chilcutt (VAN): -4.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.00	12	75%	0.13	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	94%	0.15	5	-0.09	2	50%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.06	-0.03	20	54%	0.11	2	-0.06	14	50%	-0.06
Theo Ratliff	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	11	46%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	10	59%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	5	100%	0.10	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kebu Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	16	53%	0.04	2	-0.03	11	45%	-0.06
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	58%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	2	57%	-0.00	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.10	-0.02	0.11	15	70%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	9	54%	-0.05	1	0.00	6	67%	-0.06
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	57%	-0.02	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	7	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	26.6	16.4	23.5	1.8	37.3	129.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +42.0%

PHI +2.4%

PHI +13.1%

VAN -6.5%

VAN -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	VAN	NBA	PHI	VAN	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.6	122.3	111.8	102.5
season	15.4	15.1		99.7	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.5		109.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.5	15.3	16.1	14.3	15.5
VAN	12.9	17.4	15.9	15.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	41	41	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.10	17	-6	23	13.6	17.0	-3.38	16.1	14.6	1.59
Kebu Stewart	19	18	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	4	3	13.1	16.2	-3.12	16.9	14.9	2.09
Clar. Weatherspoon	52	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	-7	25	15.5	15.6	-0.14	15.7	14.7	1.03
Terry Cummings	53	54	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	2	7	16.5	14.3	2.17	16.1	14.2	1.90
Allen Iverson	85	82	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	2	7	15.6	15.1	0.48	14.8	18.8	-4.04
Mark Davis	42	39	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	2	7	14.3	16.5	-2.19	15.1	15.4	-0.31
Jim Jackson	71	73	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	5	1	16.4	12.9	3.54	15.0	16.2	-1.26
Tim Thomas	50	50	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.40	-8	19	-27	16.3	14.6	1.70	15.1	15.5	-0.39
Anthony Parker	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	5.3	15.9	-10.55	7.7	15.5	-7.84
Theo Ratliff	54	53	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.14	-8	19	-27	16.6	14.2	2.38	14.6	16.1	-1.57

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blue Edwards	64	67	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.20	9	-20	29	13.8	18.5	-4.74	15.6	15.4	0.24
Antonio Daniels	69	73	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.21	8	-19	27	14.4	17.6	-3.19	15.2	16.8	-1.63
Bryant Reeves	70	70	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-13	15	15.3	15.3	-0.00	16.0	14.1	1.90
George Lynch	23	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-1	-9	16.8	14.8	2.03	16.6	15.2	1.41
Otis Thorpe	56	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-3	-5	15.5	14.9	0.56	16.2	14.5	1.71
Pete Chilcutt	36	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-1	-9	16.2	14.7	1.48	14.6	16.1	-1.51
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	84	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	-1	-9	14.9	18.7	-3.77	15.3	17.4	-2.10
Lee Mayberry	34	33	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.06	-16	5	-21	15.5	15.1	0.33	14.9	15.9	-0.93
Chris Robinson	29	27	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	9	-29	18.5	13.8	4.74	15.4	15.6	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 112, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.8%
CHI 116, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
NOK 102, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.03,0	93.0%