NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	90		Excitement	6.1 [556]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +15.2%
Chicago Bulls	97		Comeback	1.5 [906]		LVP	Christian Laettner (ATL): -18.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	12	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Alan Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	48%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Chucky Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	5	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Steven Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	16	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Ed Gray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	10	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.07	0.05	10	46%	-0.13	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.03	0.05	26	72%	0.25	4	-0.10	13	85%	0.06
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	47%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	7	43%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.01	11	38%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	-0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.02	0.03	14	37%	-0.14	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	30.4	15.7	29.5	2.7	30.2	134.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +31.7%

CHI +4.5%

CHI +22.1%

ATL -9.5%

CHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	17.6	16.7	15.6	107.1	115.5	102.5
season	16.1	16.2		105.3	105.8
opponent	15.8	16.0		97.9	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.3	17.9	19.7	15.7	17.6
CHI	18.7	14.0	18.2	16.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Crawford	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-11	15	11.7	17.8	-6.14	17.7	16.7	1.00
Mookie Blaylock	12	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-5	3	18.8	17.4	1.46	17.9	16.5	1.42
Tyrone Corbin	44	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-7	7	19.6	15.3	4.26	17.1	16.2	0.86
Ed Gray	30	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-8	9	15.2	18.9	-3.66	15.3	17.4	-2.13
Alan Henderson	54	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-2	-3	16.2	20.1	-3.91	16.2	17.4	-1.19
Eldridge Recasner	70	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-6	5	17.2	19.5	-2.30	16.4	18.2	-1.81
Chucky Brown	32	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-3	-1	15.5	18.9	-3.37	16.7	16.7	-0.04
Dikembe Mutombo	60	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-2	-3	18.8	14.6	4.14	17.8	13.7	4.08
Christian Laettner	58	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	2	-11	17.9	16.9	0.96	15.6	19.3	-3.67
Steven Smith	57	57	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	7	-21	18.7	15.2	3.53	17.5	15.0	2.56

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	71	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-7	21	16.6	17.0	-0.35	17.8	16.6	1.13
Michael Jordan	63	62	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-4	15	16.8	16.5	0.24	18.5	15.1	3.32
Ron Harper	44	44	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	-1	9	18.5	14.7	3.82	18.0	17.1	0.83
Jud Buechler	7	8	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	-4	15	20.7	16.3	4.38	15.9	17.8	-1.89
Bill Wennington	25	25	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	1	5	17.8	16.2	1.56	17.5	17.6	-0.09
Toni Kukoc	72	72	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	10	-13	16.3	19.1	-2.78	17.8	16.3	1.46
Luc Longley	49	48	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.30	-5	12	-17	17.0	16.2	0.81	17.9	17.1	0.78
Steve Kerr	37	39	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	2	3	14.6	18.3	-3.67	16.3	18.7	-2.38
Jason Caffey	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	9	-11	15.9	16.9	-0.95	17.7	17.5	0.21
Randy Brown	24	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.22	-8	15	-23	16.4	16.8	-0.46	16.0	18.2	-2.28
Scott Burrell	11	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	9	-11	14.3	17.1	-2.80	16.4	17.8	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 85, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.92,0.81,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.8%
CHI 97, HOU 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
TOR 72, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%