inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 97 Excitement5.7 [654] MVPBobby Jackson (HOU): +8.3%
Houston Rockets 110 Comeback1.6 [1089] LVPBen Gordon (CHI): -14.3%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich0.060,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.000.02-0.04956%0.082-0.0200%0.00
Luol Deng0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.01-0.00756%0.0400.004100%0.03
Tyrus Thomas0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.07-0.010.061169%0.072-0.064100%0.00
Cedric Simmons0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.01955%0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Larry Hughes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.030.001159%0.072-0.0800%0.00
Andres Nocioni-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.020.000.041155%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.021146%0.013-0.064100%0.01
Aaron Gray-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.00333%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Joakim Noah-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.05-0.01333%-0.062-0.0400%0.00
Ben Gordon-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.030.011123%-0.121-0.0200%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.030.02874%0.112-0.02367%-0.00
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.01773%0.101-0.0210%-0.02
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.110.010.041363%0.101-0.021267%-0.02
Luis Scola0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.001161%0.102-0.05650%-0.01
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.06-0.010.07958%-0.0200.0010%-0.01
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00443%-0.0200.00633%-0.08
Yao Ming0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.02-0.021246%0.044-0.082100%0.01
Rafer Alston0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.040.001065%0.086-0.1700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.829.218.727.82.832.4141.0
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +40.5%
HOU +0.2%
HOU +8.5%
CHI -1.8%
HOU +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIHOUNBACHIHOUNBA
this game13.515.815.498.0112.2105.7
season15.016.2102.2104.6
opponent15.215.5100.3105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.413.513.512.613.5
HOU18.316.012.716.715.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cedric Simmons550.00-0.500.50-0.155-18238.213.8-5.5618.015.72.34
Thabo Sefolosha5050-0.01-0.490.47-0.072-151712.514.5-2.0515.915.60.34
Joakim Noah5250-0.09-0.410.32-0.03-2-11913.813.10.6615.616.0-0.44
Tyrus Thomas5455-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-131313.313.7-0.4715.715.9-0.19
Andres Nocioni5958-0.23-0.270.03-0.17-2-11912.514.9-2.3515.815.8-0.04
Aaron Gray2122-0.24-0.260.02-0.03-7-6-114.013.30.6115.515.9-0.36
Larry Hughes4443-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.18-3-10713.813.20.5816.115.50.65
Kirk Hinrich5858-0.34-0.16-0.180.19-185-2314.012.71.2715.416.3-0.97
Ben Gordon5352-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.07-11-2-913.513.40.1216.115.40.72
Luol Deng4747-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.09-11-2-914.612.52.0515.715.9-0.22
Drew Gooden5250-0.43-0.07-0.360.10-185-2313.913.00.8215.715.8-0.07

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Jackson37370.410.090.32-0.2121-82916.815.21.5815.112.52.56
Luther Head41410.390.110.280.1876116.315.40.8514.013.10.90
Carl Landry34340.370.130.250.08103716.115.60.4313.713.40.35
Tracy McGrady72740.350.150.20-0.031301315.716.1-0.4613.413.8-0.49
Yao Ming77790.340.160.190.05103714.918.9-3.9813.413.7-0.28
Shane Battier84850.330.170.150.00112915.517.3-1.7613.811.52.30
Luis Scola67670.200.30-0.090.0658-316.115.01.1813.713.00.70
Rafer Alston63630.110.39-0.290.02310-715.316.6-1.2812.914.6-1.70
Charles Hayes550.000.50-0.500.15-518-2318.015.72.348.213.8-5.56
Steve Novak550.000.50-0.500.15-518-2318.015.72.348.213.8-5.56
Aaron Brooks550.000.50-0.500.15-518-2318.015.72.348.213.8-5.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 78, PHX 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
MEM 98, LAL 1140.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.79,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,194.6%
NYK 81, SAS 990.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%