NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	3.0 [1142]		MVP	Jason Caffey (CHI): +10.8%
Chicago Bulls	111		Comeback	1.0 [1053]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -8.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	14	64%	0.04	1	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03
Steve Nash	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	9	61%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marko Milic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	56%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	5	67%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	10	32%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	7	27%	-0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Danny Manning	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.04	10	48%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.00	18	49%	-0.04	3	-0.04	9	67%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	10	43%	0.03	6	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.00	0.01	7	86%	0.11	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.04	16	61%	0.10	3	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	23	53%	0.06	2	-0.02	12	92%	0.03
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	68%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.02
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	61%	0.03	2	-0.02	11	73%	-0.01
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	6	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.19	0.00	-0.11	4	0%	-0.03	6	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.7	28.0	15.3	27.6	2.3	36.4	135.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +27.0%

CHI +8.1%

CHI +6.4%

CHI +7.7%

CHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHI	NBA	PHX	CHI	NBA
this game	13.0	14.7	15.6	101.0	105.7	102.5
season	15.0	16.2		105.3	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.9		97.9	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.9	14.6	15.0	10.5	13.0
CHI	15.9	16.0	15.6	12.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Milic	20	21	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.66	23	-30	53	9.1	14.0	-4.85	10.3	15.8	-5.48
Brooks Thompson	19	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-18	29	7.8	14.2	-6.34	7.2	16.4	-9.16
Mark Bryant	22	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-15	23	15.4	12.4	2.99	16.0	14.3	1.65
Hot Rod Williams	19	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-1	-5	17.6	12.0	5.67	18.0	13.9	4.07
George McCloud	56	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.11	-4	-3	-1	13.8	12.1	1.70	16.7	12.4	4.27
Danny Manning	61	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.42	4	-11	15	12.0	14.4	-2.36	13.5	16.3	-2.81
Clifford Robinson	46	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	12	-31	12.9	13.1	-0.14	15.9	13.7	2.19
Jason Kidd	79	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	5	-17	13.2	12.3	0.88	13.8	17.4	-3.53
Antonio McDyess	69	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	2	-11	14.4	10.2	4.14	16.7	10.4	6.38
Steve Nash	58	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	2	-11	12.0	14.3	-2.27	13.5	16.2	-2.64
Cedric Ceballos	66	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.22	-22	15	-37	13.0	12.9	0.10	15.3	13.7	1.59

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	83	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.07	14	-7	21	14.6	15.0	-0.36	13.1	12.5	0.63
Michael Jordan	70	69	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.10	19	-12	31	17.3	9.4	7.90	14.4	10.2	4.19
Randy Brown	67	66	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.27	4	3	1	13.3	17.0	-3.66	12.1	14.6	-2.56
Jason Caffey	50	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	0	7	15.3	14.1	1.17	13.2	12.8	0.37
Toni Kukoc	65	64	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	-5	17	15.6	13.1	2.49	14.8	10.1	4.76
Steve Kerr	47	46	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.26	1	6	-5	13.8	15.4	-1.63	12.1	13.7	-1.59
Ron Harper	58	57	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	1	5	15.4	13.8	1.63	13.7	12.1	1.59
Bill Wennington	27	26	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	5	-3	16.6	14.0	2.64	14.3	12.6	1.74
Joe Kleine	11	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	12	-17	14.6	14.7	-0.03	15.0	12.7	2.25
Scott Burrell	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	14	-21	6.1	16.2	-10.08	6.5	14.1	-7.58
Jud Buechler	31	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.51	-18	25	-43	11.5	16.0	-4.47	8.6	14.8	-6.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	97.2%
CHA 103, BOS 119	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
BKN 73, UTA 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%