NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	2.6 [1235]		MVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): +10.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	107		Comeback	1.0 [876]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -5.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.14	0.00	0.10	12	71%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	70%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.01	0.06	13	66%	0.04	2	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.05	2	87%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.09	19	51%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	62%	0.03	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.00	-0.11	14	53%	0.12	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	15	57%	0.03	1	-0.00	10	80%	-0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	14	45%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.07	5	77%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.5	30.2	15.8	23.3	2.4	38.2	132.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +40.0%

PHX -1.0%

MIL +11.4%

PHX -2.2%

MIL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIL	NBA	PHX	MIL	NBA
this game	14.2	17.9	15.3	107.7	120.2	106.0
season	14.4	15.5		113.5	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.8	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.5	16.6	14.0	10.3	14.2
MIL	17.0	16.9	20.3	17.4	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Clark	26	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.31	10	-19	29	10.3	15.7	-5.47	17.4	18.0	-0.62
Jarron Collins	15	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-12	15	17.3	13.6	3.70	19.2	17.6	1.61
Lou Amundson	36	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.29	6	-15	21	11.5	15.9	-4.38	17.9	17.8	0.09
Steve Nash	39	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.21	-14	5	-19	17.0	12.1	4.94	17.2	18.3	-1.16
Jason Richardson	39	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.16	-13	4	-17	17.6	11.6	5.97	17.3	18.3	-1.05
Channing Frye	41	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	2	-13	14.4	14.0	0.39	18.0	17.8	0.24
Leandro Barbosa	45	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-13	17	11.8	16.5	-4.70	18.4	17.3	1.08
Goran Dragic	52	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.44	5	-14	19	12.1	17.0	-4.94	18.3	17.2	1.16
Grant Hill	43	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	7	-23	16.7	11.9	4.74	17.5	18.2	-0.65
Amar'e Stoudemire	55	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	6	-21	15.9	11.5	4.38	17.8	17.9	-0.09
Jared Dudley	64	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-5	1	12.8	17.4	-4.59	17.9	17.9	-0.04

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	80	82	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-1	11	17.6	20.2	-2.62	13.9	17.1	-3.26
John Salmons	61	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-4	17	18.2	17.1	1.05	15.6	11.3	4.34
Ersan Ilyasova	61	61	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	1	7	18.0	17.7	0.27	13.3	16.0	-2.77
Brandon Jennings	60	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	1	7	17.1	19.4	-2.30	14.4	13.8	0.61
Kurt Thomas	56	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	0	9	18.5	16.8	1.66	14.1	14.4	-0.33
Andrew Bogut	23	23	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	1	7	16.8	18.2	-1.46	16.7	13.3	3.31
Jerry Stackhouse	32	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	11	-13	19.5	16.9	2.60	13.8	14.4	-0.56
Luke Ridnour	29	30	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	8	-7	19.4	17.1	2.30	13.8	14.4	-0.61
Luc Mbah a Moute	34	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	13	-17	18.6	17.4	1.22	15.4	13.3	2.07
Primoz Brezec	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	12	-15	7.7	18.3	-10.59	4.2	14.6	-10.38
Royal Ivey	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	12	-15	7.7	18.3	-10.59	4.2	14.6	-10.38
Charlie Bell	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	12	-15	7.4	18.5	-11.09	4.4	14.7	-10.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 104, CHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	97.2%
CHA 103, BOS 119	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
CHA 92, MIN 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%