NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	3.9 [1001]		MVP	Terry Dehere (SAC): +9.0%
Sacramento Kings	113		Comeback	1.1 [297]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -9.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Foster	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Chris Morris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	80%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Antoine Carr	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.05	6	79%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	25	55%	0.05	6	-0.10	12	67%	-0.02
John Stockton	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	5	31%	-0.05	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.02	0.06	12	78%	0.09	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	9	57%	0.03	3	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.01	19	51%	0.02	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.05
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.04	17	41%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	17	55%	0.00	3	-0.05	15	73%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	25.7	14.8	33.1	1.6	31.2	132.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -3.5%

SAC +10.7%

SAC +19.4%

SAC +20.1%

SAC +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	13.5	16.5	15.6	105.2	117.7	102.5
season	15.9	15.2		108.1	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.9		104.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.5	11.8	14.7	11.6	13.5
SAC	14.8	17.0	16.6	17.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Foster	22	21	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	17.0	12.5	4.55	16.4	16.5	-0.10
John Stockton	39	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-15	18	13.5	13.5	-0.01	16.6	16.3	0.29
Chris Morris	33	33	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-18	24	10.3	15.3	-4.98	16.6	16.4	0.18
Jacque Vaughn	33	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-14	16	13.4	13.6	-0.23	16.3	16.5	-0.23
Shandon Anderson	47	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-18	24	12.0	15.0	-2.94	17.5	15.4	2.04
Adam Keefe	33	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-3	-6	15.8	12.3	3.52	14.9	17.3	-2.41
Antoine Carr	28	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-7	2	14.3	13.2	1.10	17.9	15.9	1.97
Bryon Russell	64	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-9	6	12.1	16.3	-4.20	17.2	15.0	2.14
Karl Malone	76	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-2	-8	13.8	12.5	1.32	16.0	18.2	-2.22
Howard Eisley	24	26	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.13	-17	5	-22	13.7	13.5	0.28	16.4	16.5	-0.10
Jeff Hornacek	48	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	6	-24	15.3	11.8	3.50	15.6	17.3	-1.77
Greg Ostertag	33	35	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	3	-18	13.2	13.7	-0.55	16.3	16.5	-0.23

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	84	83	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.11	13	-1	14	16.2	18.6	-2.43	13.5	13.8	-0.26
Terry Dehere	54	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-4	20	16.3	16.6	-0.29	13.4	13.7	-0.24
Lawrence Funderburke	51	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	1	10	15.7	17.3	-1.65	13.3	13.9	-0.58
Mitch Richmond	71	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	4	4	16.3	17.0	-0.73	13.0	15.2	-2.19
Olden Polynice	62	62	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	4	4	17.5	14.6	2.85	14.3	12.1	2.16
Michael Stewart	34	34	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	8	-4	14.6	17.5	-2.85	12.1	14.3	-2.16
Anthony Johnson	36	36	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	3	6	14.9	17.4	-2.47	14.4	13.0	1.31
Billy Owens	61	61	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	15	-18	17.2	15.1	2.07	13.6	13.4	0.22
Bobby Hurley	23	24	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.22	-7	19	-26	18.7	15.8	2.94	13.4	13.6	-0.17
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	14	-16	19.5	16.2	3.32	16.0	13.3	2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 74, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
MIA 84, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DEN 83, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.89,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%