NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	99		Excitement	6.8 [418]		MVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): +13.6%
Dallas Mavericks	92		Comeback	1.2 [497]		LVP	James Robinson (LAC): -22.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrick Martin	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.02	12	69%	0.18	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	11	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Pooh Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	8	72%	0.07	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	12	38%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.04
Eric Piatkowski	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	13	34%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
James Robinson	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	0.01	8	35%	-0.20	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.07

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martin Muursepp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	5	58%	0.07	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Bubba Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.11	-0.07	0.07	16	68%	-0.02	1	-0.01	9	100%	0.05
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	7	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.10	0.03	16	47%	-0.08	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	16	47%	-0.04	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.4	22.8	15.6	25.4	1.8	35.2	125.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +14.9%

DAL -0.2%

LAC +15.9%

LAC +17.4%

LAC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	16.9	13.4	15.6	104.2	96.8	102.5
season	15.5	15.8		101.0	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		104.6	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.4	16.6	21.2	16.4	16.9
DAL	15.0	13.5	14.8	10.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	80	80	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.26	20	-13	33	16.3	20.4	-4.11	13.4	13.3	0.13
Darrick Martin	53	55	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.23	14	-7	21	15.9	18.2	-2.25	12.0	15.3	-3.27
Eric Piatkowski	74	74	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	1	5	17.3	15.6	1.69	13.7	12.1	1.65
Lamond Murray	73	73	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	3	1	17.3	15.6	1.69	13.9	11.8	2.09
James Robinson	42	41	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	7	-7	15.1	18.4	-3.22	12.0	14.4	-2.38
Rodney Rogers	73	72	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	5	-3	17.3	15.6	1.75	13.5	13.1	0.39
Maurice Taylor	38	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	11	-15	18.0	16.2	1.82	13.3	13.4	-0.08
Pooh Richardson	42	41	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	14	-21	18.2	15.9	2.25	14.9	12.2	2.68

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martin Muursepp	32	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-11	15	11.9	14.1	-2.22	19.2	15.7	3.49
Bubba Wells	7	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	0	-7	14.0	13.3	0.67	14.0	17.2	-3.17
Samaki Walker	52	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-5	3	13.2	13.5	-0.28	17.7	16.1	1.61
A.C. Green	45	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-1	-5	15.3	11.7	3.63	16.4	17.4	-1.07
Dennis Scott	76	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-10	13	13.4	13.4	-0.05	17.4	14.9	2.43
Michael Finley	87	87	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-2	-3	13.2	15.2	-2.04	17.2	14.4	2.80
Hubert Davis	74	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-9	11	12.5	16.4	-3.92	17.3	15.4	1.88
Erick Strickland	37	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	2	-11	13.8	13.1	0.66	14.1	18.5	-4.34
Khalid Reeves	65	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.20	-15	8	-23	13.8	12.4	1.38	16.1	18.9	-2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.22,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.15,0.21,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, WAS 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.02,0,0,0	93.2%
SEA 107, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.53,0.29,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.04,0.08,0	93.1%
PHI 82, MIA 76	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.01,0	92.8%