NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	6.7 [447]		MVP	Shandon Anderson (UTA): +17.1%
Utah Jazz	106		Comeback	1.3 [951]		LVP	Travis Best (IND): -23.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.06	0.01	12	59%	0.09	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Mark Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Fred Hoiberg	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	11	67%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Mullin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Rik Smits	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	70%	0.10	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	6	47%	-0.03	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Travis Best	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	5	42%	-0.04	5	-0.20	2	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.12	-0.04	12	48%	0.17	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	78%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	19	67%	0.12	6	-0.13	8	62%	-0.04
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	10	70%	-0.02
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	14	39%	-0.00	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.10
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	6	45%	-0.09	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	56.2	1.8	33.0	14.7	29.8	1.5	27.5	164.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +13.6%

UTA +8.8%

UTA +25.6%

UTA +0.2%

UTA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	UTA	NBA	IND	UTA	NBA
this game	13.8	16.4	15.6	102.1	110.4	102.5
season	16.0	15.9		105.3	108.1
opponent	15.9	16.1		102.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.4	13.5	13.7	15.7	13.8
UTA	17.6	14.7	15.1	18.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Pope	4	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-6	3	12.0	13.8	-1.84	19.4	16.2	3.18
Reggie Miller	46	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-8	7	13.0	14.5	-1.55	17.1	15.7	1.45
Travis Best	38	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-9	9	13.9	13.6	0.27	13.6	18.1	-4.48
Antonio Davis	56	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.28	5	-14	19	13.6	14.0	-0.37	16.5	16.3	0.20
Jalen Rose	41	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-6	3	14.0	13.6	0.47	14.5	17.7	-3.24
Chris Mullin	54	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-3	-3	13.6	14.0	-0.47	17.7	14.5	3.24
Rik Smits	56	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	1	-11	13.9	13.5	0.42	15.6	17.6	-1.97
Mark Jackson	57	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	0	-9	13.6	13.9	-0.27	18.1	13.6	4.48
Fred Hoiberg	49	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	-1	-7	14.5	13.0	1.55	15.7	17.1	-1.45
Dale Davis	74	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.28	-10	1	-11	13.8	13.5	0.36	16.7	15.3	1.42

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	36	37	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.09	25	-16	41	18.5	15.1	3.43	14.8	13.1	1.68
Karl Malone	75	75	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.29	15	-6	21	17.0	14.2	2.81	13.5	14.7	-1.26
Shandon Anderson	39	38	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.24	9	0	9	16.6	16.3	0.30	15.2	12.8	2.33
Antoine Carr	39	38	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	6	-3	16.4	16.4	0.09	15.1	12.9	2.25
Bryon Russell	54	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	4	1	14.2	19.1	-4.90	14.9	12.2	2.60
Greg Foster	41	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	4	1	17.3	15.7	1.54	13.1	14.2	-1.08
Jeff Hornacek	65	63	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.08	2	7	-5	17.3	14.4	2.90	12.6	16.1	-3.48
Adam Keefe	34	34	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	7	-5	17.8	15.6	2.18	12.6	14.4	-1.82
Jacque Vaughn	18	16	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.14	1	8	-7	14.3	16.9	-2.53	13.2	13.9	-0.61
Greg Ostertag	37	36	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.04	-5	14	-19	14.1	17.8	-3.71	13.6	13.9	-0.28
Howard Eisley	42	42	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.29	-17	26	-43	15.4	17.1	-1.70	13.0	14.3	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.74,0.75,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 86, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.97,1,0.99,1	93.6%
SAC 101, OKC 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.78,0.75,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.98,1	92.7%
SAC 90, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1	92.1%