NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	86		Excitement	6.4 [504]		MVP	Mike Penberthy (LAL): +7.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	1.6 [681]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -26.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Penberthy	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.05	0.05	25	56%	-0.04	1	-0.03	13	69%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.26	0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.25	-0.04	-0.03	21	35%	-0.14	4	-0.12	12	42%	-0.06

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	52%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.04	13	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.02	26	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	7	50%	-0.06	2	-0.06	10	100%	0.05
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.27,-0.21,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	17	55%	0.10	8	-0.26	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	3.4	30.4	19.7	26.3	3.4	37.2	147.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +1.6%

POR +18.4%

POR +36.5%

LAL -16.5%

POR +10.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.5	94.5	105.5	100.9
season	15.6	15.8		106.8	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.2		100.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.5	13.9	16.5	16.5	15.9
POR	13.5	18.0	14.8	17.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Foster	2	2	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-10	10	3.5	16.2	-12.66	15.5	15.8	-0.28
Horace Grant	42	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-9	8	15.9	15.8	0.09	15.5	16.0	-0.54
Ron Harper	51	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.11	-7	-3	-4	16.2	15.5	0.72	14.9	16.9	-1.97
Mike Penberthy	35	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-7	4	15.1	16.4	-1.24	15.1	16.2	-1.09
Rick Fox	32	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	2	-14	16.5	15.5	0.96	13.1	17.3	-4.15
Isaiah Rider	23	22	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-8	6	17.6	15.3	2.26	20.1	14.4	5.70
Brian Shaw	44	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-10	10	15.2	16.5	-1.35	17.5	14.1	3.44
Shaquille O'Neal	85	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-4	-2	15.9	15.2	0.76	15.6	17.6	-1.95
Kobe Bryant	88	87	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	-2	-6	15.7	21.7	-5.98	15.4	23.7	-8.35
Robert Horry	53	53	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	1	-12	16.2	15.4	0.83	16.5	14.7	1.77

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	80	81	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-5	20	15.3	18.9	-3.57	16.2	12.9	3.35
Rasheed Wallace	91	91	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	15.8	0.0	15.77	15.9	0.0	15.88
Dale Davis	29	28	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	6	-2	17.2	15.1	2.06	16.6	15.6	1.05
Damon Stoudamire	78	79	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	2	6	15.5	17.5	-2.06	16.1	14.2	1.97
Bonzi Wells	38	37	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	9	-8	16.8	15.0	1.75	15.6	16.1	-0.43
Steven Smith	67	66	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.11	13	-3	16	15.3	17.0	-1.67	15.7	16.3	-0.61
Arvydas Sabonis	40	41	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	2	6	14.7	16.6	-1.86	16.8	15.1	1.68
Stacey Augmon	13	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	12	-14	18.0	15.4	2.60	11.4	16.6	-5.24
Shawn Kemp	19	19	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	17	-24	16.8	15.5	1.36	14.3	16.3	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.97,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 97, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.74,0.75,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1	93.6%
SAC 90, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1	92.9%
DEN 102, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.99,1	92.7%