NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	118		Excitement	4.9 [798]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +15.8%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	2.7 [607]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -20.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	12	80%	0.17	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	9	70%	0.08	1	-0.00	12	58%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.02	0.06	10	82%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	15	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Corie Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	12	73%	0.11	6	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.18	-0.01	-0.08	11	47%	-0.01	7	-0.11	8	37%	-0.07

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.02	0.04	8	106%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	14	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	9	39%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	15	53%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Pervis Ellison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.04	-0.02	19	51%	-0.06	7	-0.14	17	47%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.6	30.1	15.8	26.2	2.4	32.8	136.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +41.2%

LAL +9.9%

BOS -8.1%

LAL +4.0%

LAL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	13.8	13.9	15.6	113.5	99.0	102.5
season	14.8	15.1		110.0	100.2
opponent	15.1	15.6		103.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.6	12.8	13.4	18.0	13.8
BOS	13.7	13.4	15.4	13.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	84	84	0.71	-0.21	0.93	-0.08	27	-12	39	14.3	11.4	2.85	14.5	11.7	2.71
Nick Van Exel	79	79	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.01	21	-6	27	14.7	10.8	3.94	14.9	10.9	3.98
Eddie Jones	81	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-3	21	14.2	12.1	2.08	14.9	10.5	4.42
Elden Campbell	72	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-3	21	13.3	14.7	-1.35	14.6	12.5	2.05
Rick Fox	73	72	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	7	1	13.9	13.4	0.52	13.9	14.1	-0.17
Kobe Bryant	60	61	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	10	-5	13.6	13.9	-0.24	13.7	14.3	-0.69
Corie Blount	21	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	24	-33	13.0	13.9	-0.94	12.5	14.3	-1.83
Derek Fisher	25	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	21	-27	10.8	14.7	-3.94	10.9	14.9	-3.98
Jon Barry	25	24	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.02	-7	22	-29	12.0	14.3	-2.25	9.2	15.4	-6.15

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	21	19	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-19	23	11.5	14.6	-3.09	10.3	14.5	-4.27
Tyus Edney	25	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-13	11	13.6	14.1	-0.50	14.0	13.7	0.33
Dee Brown	69	68	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.16	3	-18	21	12.7	16.3	-3.58	14.3	12.7	1.61
Ron Mercer	79	79	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-13	11	13.1	16.6	-3.45	12.9	16.4	-3.54
Travis Knight	54	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-11	7	14.1	13.7	0.43	14.1	13.3	0.85
Chauncey Billups	45	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-7	-1	15.0	13.1	1.94	13.6	13.8	-0.20
Dana Barros	41	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-3	-9	14.1	13.8	0.34	13.3	14.0	-0.69
Greg Minor	17	18	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-5	-5	16.4	13.5	2.95	17.3	13.0	4.27
Pervis Ellison	20	19	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.12	-15	0	-15	15.6	13.5	2.11	13.6	13.8	-0.21
Antoine Walker	85	87	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-9	3	14.1	13.2	0.90	13.7	13.9	-0.23
Walter McCarty	64	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.14	-23	8	-31	14.7	12.7	2.06	14.2	12.9	1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 95, MIN 78	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
NYK 104, CLE 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
CLE 106, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%