NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	101		Excitement	6.1 [562]		MVP	David Benoit (NJN): +11.0%
Golden State Warriors	87		Comeback	1.1 [973]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (GSW): -19.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Benoit	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	7	57%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.00	0.00	13	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.02	6	69%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Michael Cage	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	10	73%	0.09	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jack Haley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	55%	-0.02	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.07
Chris Gatling	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	12	48%	0.00	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	0.02	-0.01	17	43%	-0.02	4	-0.09	8	100%	0.07

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	10	77%	0.14	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	24	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	11	36%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	8	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	13	41%	-0.01	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.04	-0.03	17	33%	-0.10	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.3	28.6	15.6	24.2	1.8	25.0	120.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +36.2%

NJN +13.1%

GSW -10.3%

NJN +15.0%

GSW -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	GSW	NBA	NJN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	15.3	15.6	106.3	88.8	102.5
season	15.6	15.6		104.9	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.2		102.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	10.2	15.2	14.1	20.3	14.5
GSW	17.1	12.7	14.1	18.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	71	72	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.11	22	-8	30	13.9	16.3	-2.42	16.0	13.4	2.56
Sam Cassell	68	70	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.13	20	-6	26	14.6	14.4	0.22	15.5	14.9	0.63
Jayson Williams	73	75	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.10	18	-4	22	13.9	16.7	-2.81	15.4	15.1	0.29
Chris Gatling	73	74	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.10	17	-3	20	13.5	18.0	-4.58	15.4	14.9	0.57
Kevin Edwards	24	25	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	6	2	17.5	13.5	3.92	13.0	16.1	-3.04
Kerry Kittles	69	71	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	8	-2	13.3	17.7	-4.36	16.2	13.0	3.13
Michael Cage	20	21	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.19	-4	18	-22	16.3	14.1	2.25	15.3	15.3	-0.03
Xavier McDaniel	25	26	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	19	-24	17.3	13.5	3.74	14.4	15.6	-1.20
Sherman Douglas	29	30	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.22	-6	20	-26	14.8	14.4	0.38	14.7	15.6	-0.83
David Benoit	21	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	20	-26	17.0	13.8	3.18	13.8	15.8	-2.01
Jack Haley	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	20.5	14.4	6.10	13.0	15.4	-2.35

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felton Spencer	27	27	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.20	7	-21	28	14.7	15.5	-0.78	15.4	14.2	1.23
Bimbo Coles	11	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-13	12	16.7	15.1	1.60	10.0	15.2	-5.24
David Vaughn	46	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-16	18	15.1	15.5	-0.41	16.7	12.4	4.26
Donyell Marshall	91	86	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-8	2	15.6	12.0	3.56	13.8	21.0	-7.15
Muggsy Bogues	73	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-9	4	15.6	14.4	1.27	14.7	14.0	0.72
Tony Delk	15	14	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-5	-4	12.7	15.8	-3.12	18.1	13.9	4.16
Latrell Sprewell	97	94	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	-1	-12	15.3	15.0	0.31	14.5	19.0	-4.52
Erick Dampier	71	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.11	-21	7	-28	15.5	14.7	0.78	14.2	15.4	-1.23
Joe Smith	59	57	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.01	-24	10	-34	15.1	15.6	-0.56	13.8	15.7	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.32,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.38,0.23,0.22,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.26,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.9%
MIA 98, SAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.03,0,0	93.4%
NYK 99, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.2%