NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	103		Excitement	5.2 [750]		MVP	Bill Wennington (CHI): +6.7%
Sacramento Kings	88		Comeback	1.0 [1082]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): -13.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bill Wennington	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	9	55%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Jordan	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	19	66%	0.09	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.02
Toni Kukoc	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	15	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Joe Kleine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Dennis Rodman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Salvadori	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.03
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.02	-0.06	12	43%	0.01	4	-0.07	4	50%	0.01
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	4	50%	-0.04	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.05
Mitch Richmond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	22	47%	-0.03	5	-0.10	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	28.2	15.0	27.1	2.4	30.5	126.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +21.7%

CHI +1.3%

SAC -0.1%

CHI +25.0%

CHI +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAC	NBA	CHI	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.6	113.2	94.6	102.5
season	16.2	15.2		105.8	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.8		104.3	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.0	14.0	15.7	16.5	15.5
SAC	15.3	16.6	14.9	16.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	78	79	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	5	5	15.7	14.7	0.99	15.4	17.8	-2.38
Bill Wennington	36	37	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	5	5	14.5	16.2	-1.67	16.8	15.1	1.78
Toni Kukoc	68	68	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	3	9	15.8	14.8	1.01	15.2	17.3	-2.13
Randy Brown	37	39	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	3	9	15.0	15.9	-0.86	15.9	15.7	0.23
Jason Caffey	26	28	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	6	3	15.0	15.7	-0.70	16.6	15.4	1.21
Scott Burrell	22	23	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	8	-1	14.8	15.8	-0.95	17.3	15.2	2.10
Ron Harper	47	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	9	-3	16.1	14.9	1.22	16.9	14.5	2.44
Dennis Rodman	61	62	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	14	-13	15.8	14.9	0.90	15.9	15.4	0.52
Luc Longley	52	52	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	11	-7	16.5	14.3	2.20	14.8	16.9	-2.08
Rusty LaRue	15	14	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	14	-13	14.8	15.7	-0.88	14.4	16.0	-1.57
Joe Kleine	3	4	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	14	-13	11.3	15.7	-4.35	17.7	15.7	2.08
Jud Buechler	10	10	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	13	-11	14.0	15.7	-1.73	11.1	16.3	-5.23

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Dehere	46	47	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.14	5	-20	25	15.7	15.8	-0.09	16.7	14.2	2.49
Olden Polynice	58	58	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	14.8	17.4	-2.58	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Kevin Salvadori	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	12.8	15.9	-3.13	13.8	15.6	-1.84
Bobby Hurley	8	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-9	3	15.7	15.8	-0.01	12.4	15.8	-3.47
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	21	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	-7	-1	15.2	15.9	-0.68	13.6	16.0	-2.40
Corliss Williamson	70	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-13	11	14.7	19.0	-4.30	15.0	17.1	-2.07
Anthony Johnson	11	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-8	1	20.5	15.1	5.42	15.0	15.6	-0.60
Billy Owens	45	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-15	15	15.9	15.6	0.29	17.2	13.7	3.49
Mitch Richmond	75	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-10	5	15.6	16.3	-0.64	15.7	14.6	1.18
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	39	36	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-1	-13	15.8	15.7	0.10	14.7	16.1	-1.44
Michael Stewart	43	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	2	-19	16.9	14.8	2.13	15.6	15.5	0.04
Lawrence Funderburke	44	41	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.09	-22	7	-29	17.1	14.6	2.48	15.3	15.8	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.37,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 120, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0	95.0%
DAL 92, NJN 75	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.29,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
MIA 97, VAN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%