NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	6.2 [535]		MVP	Aaron McKie (DET): +7.3%
Detroit Pistons	87		Comeback	1.8 [364]		LVP	Tyrone Corbin (ATL): -11.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.10	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.03	0.01	18	44%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	16	58%	0.05	4	-0.11	11	100%	0.07
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	61%	0.09	4	-0.15	7	71%	0.00
Ed Gray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	12	44%	-0.05	1	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	87%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.08	-0.02	13	53%	0.11	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Bison Dele	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	15	64%	0.20	5	-0.15	6	83%	0.03
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	16	53%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
Rick Mahorn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	24.4	15.8	25.3	2.5	38.3	134.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +34.0%

ATL -2.3%

ATL -4.6%

DET +21.5%

DET +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	18.3	15.8	15.6	101.2	102.4	102.5
season	16.1	15.9		105.3	102.8
opponent	15.9	16.0		101.1	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.7	16.6	18.4	19.4	18.3
DET	13.2	16.9	16.7	16.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Gray	54	55	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.07	7	-9	16	17.9	18.9	-0.92	16.1	15.3	0.81
Christian Laettner	60	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.47	11	-13	24	18.0	18.9	-0.84	15.7	16.1	-0.42
Greg Anderson	9	11	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	9	-20	18.2	18.3	-0.06	11.4	16.5	-5.12
Tyrone Corbin	75	76	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.51	9	-11	20	18.3	18.1	0.18	16.0	14.1	1.92
Dikembe Mutombo	73	73	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.52	9	-11	20	18.5	17.0	1.47	16.7	10.7	6.00
Chris Crawford	11	10	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	12	-26	16.9	18.5	-1.57	13.0	16.2	-3.20
Chucky Brown	24	22	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	8	-18	18.9	18.0	0.84	16.5	15.6	0.85
Mookie Blaylock	78	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-2	2	18.3	17.8	0.47	16.4	8.8	7.52
Eldridge Recasner	36	37	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.33	-11	9	-20	18.7	18.0	0.74	14.1	17.2	-3.09

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	39	37	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.40	7	-5	12	16.7	15.0	1.70	18.1	18.4	-0.39
Bison Dele	71	70	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.40	5	-3	8	16.3	13.6	2.70	18.7	16.0	2.73
Joe Dumars	66	64	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.47	1	1	0	16.2	14.5	1.67	17.7	20.0	-2.33
Malik Sealy	33	34	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	-13	28	13.5	17.3	-3.87	18.4	18.2	0.23
Grant Hill	73	71	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.51	-5	7	-12	16.0	14.8	1.15	18.7	16.1	2.60
Lindsey Hunter	62	60	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.45	-7	9	-16	16.0	15.2	0.83	17.9	19.1	-1.19
Aaron McKie	28	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	-1	4	15.5	16.0	-0.54	18.4	18.2	0.21
Theo Ratliff	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	2	-2	14.0	16.5	-2.44	18.3	18.2	0.10
Rick Mahorn	9	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.03	-2	4	-6	16.8	15.7	1.07	16.2	18.6	-2.35
Don Reid	21	22	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	9	-16	16.0	15.8	0.17	18.9	18.0	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.89,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 99, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.84,1	93.4%
HOU 97, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.84,1	92.9%
OKC 90, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	92.1%