inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 87 Excitement3.1 [1120] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +6.4%
San Antonio Spurs 108 Comeback1.1 [1236] LVPErick Dampier (GSW): -7.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donyell Marshall0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.000.041164%0.0300.00367%0.01
Adonal Foyle0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05425%0.0010.0000%0.00
Felton Spencer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00367%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Todd Fuller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Delk-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Muggsy Bogues-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.040.000.04575%0.011-0.022100%0.01
David Vaughn-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.000.04867%0.011-0.012100%0.01
Latrell Sprewell-0.040,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.022045%-0.0400.00450%-0.01
Joe Smith-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.120.00-0.071032%-0.013-0.04250%-0.00
Bimbo Coles-0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.00825%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Brian Shaw-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.21-0.00-0.151121%-0.023-0.04667%-0.00
Erick Dampier-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02527%-0.032-0.041100%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.00-0.061458%0.092-0.03520%-0.02
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02475%0.052-0.0200%0.00
Chuck Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.01-0.00-0.021150%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.02757%0.052-0.0300%0.00
Sean Elliott0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.130.000.128100%0.032-0.032100%0.01
Reggie Geary0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carl Herrera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00075%0.0000.00475%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Avery Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.00850%-0.001-0.02475%-0.01
Will Perdue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00367%-0.012-0.02667%-0.00
David Robinson0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.021252%-0.013-0.061681%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.724.815.029.01.726.3124.7
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +35.7%
SAS +4.7%
SAS +12.4%
GSW -4.0%
SAS +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSASNBAGSWSASNBA
this game15.214.815.690.6112.5102.5
season15.615.992.9100.9
opponent15.915.097.2102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.614.716.715.015.2
SAS13.615.315.315.014.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Todd Fuller1111-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-181511.815.7-3.8813.414.9-1.57
Tony Delk1414-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-181513.915.5-1.5514.014.9-0.88
Adonal Foyle2223-0.01-0.490.470.07-3-181513.415.8-2.3915.414.50.90
Brian Shaw4141-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-201915.215.3-0.1414.714.8-0.07
Muggsy Bogues4241-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-201916.814.12.7314.914.70.22
Felton Spencer4746-0.21-0.290.09-0.03-6-15916.613.92.7214.814.70.06
Joe Smith3838-0.25-0.250.010.02-9-12315.415.20.2414.714.8-0.07
David Vaughn6058-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-11-10-115.914.21.6413.916.0-2.07
Erick Dampier3839-0.29-0.21-0.080.06-12-9-314.515.7-1.2015.114.50.59
Bimbo Coles4344-0.39-0.11-0.280.11-17-4-1314.615.8-1.1315.014.60.42
Donyell Marshall6465-0.40-0.10-0.310.07-16-5-1115.514.70.8014.914.40.54
Latrell Sprewell6060-0.510.01-0.530.16-232-2514.716.2-1.5615.114.20.84

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Robinson58580.490.010.47-0.1622-12314.615.0-0.3715.714.51.20
Avery Johnson54530.410.090.31-0.121831514.515.0-0.4915.115.4-0.26
Tim Duncan72690.400.100.31-0.01147715.213.41.7815.215.4-0.22
Jaren Jackson56570.300.200.10-0.11147714.215.5-1.2417.112.64.44
Sean Elliott42440.260.240.03-0.18156914.614.9-0.2815.315.20.08
Chuck Person48460.240.26-0.030.06615-915.114.40.7116.214.41.73
Monty Williams34330.200.30-0.10-0.00714-715.914.11.8013.516.2-2.74
Will Perdue52540.110.39-0.28-0.01417-1314.415.2-0.7615.514.90.61
Cory Alexander42430.090.41-0.310.01318-1515.014.50.4915.415.10.26
Carl Herrera10110.000.50-0.50-0.06219-1714.214.8-0.6111.815.7-3.88
Reggie Geary660.000.50-0.500.00021-2113.014.9-1.878.015.7-7.73
Malik Rose660.000.50-0.500.00021-2113.014.9-1.878.015.7-7.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 103, CLE 1250.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
POR 90, PHX 1190.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
CHI 74, CLE 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%