inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 97 Excitement3.0 [1143] MVPNick Van Exel (LAL): +5.3%
Los Angeles Lakers 132 Comeback1.0 [1235] LVPJoe Smith (GSW): -9.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Delk0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.051158%0.0000.00250%0.00
Todd Fuller-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01650%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02750%0.001-0.01475%-0.00
Felton Spencer-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01344%-0.0100.0030%-0.03
Muggsy Bogues-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00456%-0.0110.001100%0.00
Duane Ferrell-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.01350%-0.0100.0020%-0.03
Donyell Marshall-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.011243%-0.0200.004100%0.01
Bimbo Coles-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01756%-0.013-0.03250%-0.01
Brian Shaw-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.100.00-0.05714%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.210.00-0.15118%-0.061-0.00450%0.01
Latrell Sprewell-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.00-0.021236%-0.042-0.04450%-0.02
Joe Smith-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.000.052148%-0.053-0.0400%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Van Exel0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.00-0.00767%0.0500.00450%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.140.010.091866%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Eddie Jones0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.041058%0.051-0.00667%-0.01
Corie Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.02480%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Rick Fox0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.08-0.000.071076%0.032-0.02989%-0.01
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.022100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mario Bennett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.000.05679%0.0010.00250%0.00
Sean Rooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.00-0.07225%0.001-0.01450%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.000.021759%-0.012-0.021258%-0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0320%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Elden Campbell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.00-0.04825%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.531.415.728.22.426.6132.2
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +37.7%
LAL +6.4%
LAL +2.7%
LAL +3.5%
GSW -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWLALNBAGSWLALNBA
this game14.112.815.689.0125.7102.5
season15.614.892.9110.0
opponent15.615.0102.6102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.015.812.812.614.1
LAL15.010.112.114.512.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adonal Foyle38380.01-0.510.530.36-12-231113.114.6-1.4612.712.9-0.28
Tony Delk2627-0.00-0.500.490.32-11-241312.614.5-1.8914.512.32.26
Duane Ferrell3131-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-343313.514.3-0.7514.312.22.06
Todd Fuller4137-0.11-0.390.270.24-12-231113.114.6-1.4611.213.7-2.46
Felton Spencer2625-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-3-322914.613.90.6915.911.93.99
Brian Shaw3533-0.14-0.360.210.24-13-22912.514.8-2.2313.012.80.19
Muggsy Bogues4239-0.20-0.300.100.12-11-241313.914.1-0.2113.112.70.42
Bimbo Coles6059-0.30-0.20-0.100.17-16-19314.513.50.9912.812.9-0.17
Donyell Marshall7372-0.31-0.19-0.120.48-27-8-1914.413.41.0411.914.9-2.98
Erick Dampier4847-0.33-0.17-0.150.32-22-13-914.913.41.4712.513.1-0.55
Latrell Sprewell5552-0.35-0.15-0.200.21-19-16-315.312.82.5311.813.9-2.12
Joe Smith7065-0.570.07-0.640.25-28-7-2114.213.70.4813.212.21.07

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal62670.61-0.110.73-0.383413311.714.4-2.7215.112.42.65
Robert Horry60650.500.000.49-0.2124111311.814.2-2.3415.112.52.61
Nick Van Exel51530.460.040.43-0.2725101511.813.8-1.9315.612.62.94
Rick Fox69710.310.190.11-0.3723121112.713.1-0.3313.914.4-0.52
Eddie Jones53540.300.200.10-0.111421-712.713.0-0.2814.513.60.85
Kobe Bryant51530.240.26-0.02-0.231619-313.212.50.6614.014.1-0.11
Corie Blount30330.200.30-0.10-0.211421-711.713.3-1.6414.813.71.05
Derek Fisher51520.060.44-0.38-0.321322-914.211.62.5612.515.5-3.01
Mario Bennett15150.000.50-0.50-0.23827-1913.712.70.9711.614.4-2.85
Sean Rooks2829-0.010.51-0.51-0.12431-2713.512.60.8512.014.8-2.80
Jon Barry3030-0.020.52-0.53-0.25827-1913.812.51.3512.914.5-1.64
Elden Campbell2523-0.150.65-0.800.08-843-5116.311.74.5712.614.5-1.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 101, SAC 1330.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
SAS 81, HOU 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
NJN 73, HOU 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%