NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	8.1 [203]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +12.8%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	2.4 [573]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -30.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	17	62%	0.16	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Mitchell Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	18%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Danny Ferry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.02	-0.11	0.01	13	72%	0.10	5	-0.20	13	92%	0.07
Derek Anderson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	11	53%	-0.01	2	-0.10	10	70%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	6	45%	-0.04	3	-0.13	8	62%	-0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.02	8	67%	-0.02	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Pervis Ellison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	0.04	7	43%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	11	46%	0.05	3	-0.16	6	83%	0.08
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	11	53%	-0.05	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.14	0.00	8	37%	-0.10	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.21,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.17	-0.13	0.00	23	41%	-0.10	4	-0.21	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.4	30.0	15.8	31.4	2.5	36.5	146.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +36.5%

CLE +19.0%

BOS -9.3%

CLE +2.1%

CLE +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	14.3	16.2	15.6	101.1	97.9	102.5
season	15.4	15.1		99.4	100.2
opponent	15.1	16.0		103.0	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.4	15.3	16.2	11.8	14.3
BOS	15.0	19.0	16.5	14.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	64	63	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.38	15	-11	26	14.9	13.1	1.73	16.7	15.1	1.63
Wesley Person	84	81	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.42	9	-5	14	14.0	16.5	-2.55	15.9	18.0	-2.10
Shawn Kemp	79	79	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.36	9	-5	14	14.1	15.2	-1.07	15.8	18.3	-2.47
Derek Anderson	86	86	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.34	2	2	0	13.7	20.3	-6.67	16.0	17.9	-1.84
Danny Ferry	53	52	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.42	-1	5	-6	13.8	14.9	-1.01	16.3	16.0	0.35
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	26	27	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	-2	8	14.8	14.1	0.71	17.1	15.8	1.34
Cedric Henderson	24	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	6	-8	13.3	14.6	-1.34	17.2	15.8	1.37
Mitchell Butler	40	39	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.04	-9	13	-22	14.7	14.0	0.79	15.7	16.6	-0.90
Vitaly Potapenko	19	19	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	13	-22	18.2	13.3	4.83	16.0	16.2	-0.24

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Thomas	1	2	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.03	2	-6	8	16.0	16.2	-0.19	6.0	14.5	-8.47
Pervis Ellison	31	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-2	0	16.6	16.0	0.68	14.6	14.2	0.42
Andrew DeClercq	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-5	6	15.5	16.3	-0.83	17.9	13.8	4.09
Chauncey Billups	43	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-3	2	17.9	14.8	3.08	15.3	13.4	1.85
Bruce Bowen	20	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	2	-8	15.7	16.3	-0.56	13.2	14.6	-1.42
Ron Mercer	46	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-5	6	15.1	17.3	-2.21	15.5	13.0	2.51
Walter McCarty	85	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.47	5	-9	14	16.0	18.0	-2.00	14.4	13.4	1.00
Dee Brown	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	1	-6	17.1	15.1	1.98	14.7	13.9	0.81
Dana Barros	51	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.39	-1	-3	2	14.8	17.9	-3.08	13.2	15.5	-2.33
Travis Knight	52	52	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	1	-6	16.1	16.3	-0.26	13.6	15.2	-1.59
Antoine Walker	80	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	5	-14	16.6	14.0	2.58	13.7	17.6	-3.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.6,0.45,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 115, MIL 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.1,0.05,0	92.0%
CLE 111, WAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.61,0.21,0.14,0.01,0	91.9%
ORL 94, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.31,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.22,0.01,0	91.6%