NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	96		Excitement	2.8 [1164]		MVP	Kevin Edwards (NJN): +5.7%
New Jersey Nets	112		Comeback	1.0 [1101]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (GSW): -8.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
B.J. Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	45%	-0.00	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	58%	0.03	4	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Felton Spencer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Duane Ferrell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	-0.09	14	46%	-0.01	4	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.01	0.08	17	55%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Carl Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	13	48%	-0.05	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.21	0.00	-0.12	11	17%	-0.05	4	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.04	9	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.00	-0.07	12	48%	0.04	1	0.00	5	40%	-0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	13	58%	0.07	4	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yinka Dare	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	6	25%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	17	49%	0.01	1	-0.02	9	33%	-0.04
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	13	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	-0.00	-0.09	12	42%	0.01	2	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	32.0	11.8	32.0	0.7	26.5	131.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +30.7%

NJN +7.2%

NJN +3.9%

NJN +7.6%

NJN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NJN	NBA	GSW	NJN	NBA
this game	13.6	13.8	15.6	92.3	105.7	102.5
season	15.6	15.6		92.9	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.0		103.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.6	13.6	13.7	12.7	13.6
NJN	11.6	15.8	14.0	14.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
B.J. Armstrong	33	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.20	-10	-6	-4	15.4	12.8	2.52	14.0	13.7	0.36
Carl Thomas	37	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-15	14	11.1	15.1	-4.02	14.3	13.5	0.75
Todd Fuller	26	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-13	10	12.5	14.0	-1.58	12.8	14.1	-1.31
Duane Ferrell	10	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-10	4	16.1	13.4	2.72	8.1	14.3	-6.20
Adonal Foyle	28	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-15	14	12.1	14.2	-2.05	13.5	13.9	-0.43
Felton Spencer	47	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-7	-2	13.4	13.8	-0.40	15.1	12.8	2.30
Joe Smith	64	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.09	-12	-4	-8	14.8	11.7	3.08	13.9	13.6	0.29
Erick Dampier	43	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-9	2	13.8	13.5	0.29	13.0	14.3	-1.24
Donyell Marshall	73	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-16	16	13.9	13.1	0.73	14.5	12.1	2.38
Bimbo Coles	71	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-10	4	12.8	15.4	-2.52	13.7	14.0	-0.36
Latrell Sprewell	88	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.23	-25	9	-34	14.3	10.2	4.09	13.6	15.1	-1.51

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Williams	67	69	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.17	25	-9	34	14.1	13.3	0.75	13.9	13.2	0.63
Sam Cassell	71	72	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.03	18	-2	20	13.1	15.1	-1.99	14.6	11.6	3.01
Kendall Gill	67	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.18	22	-6	28	13.8	13.7	0.14	13.4	14.1	-0.67
Chris Gatling	57	54	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.37	26	-10	36	12.9	14.8	-1.92	13.7	13.6	0.12
Kevin Edwards	77	75	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	5	6	14.3	12.5	1.74	12.9	15.7	-2.84
Sherman Douglas	60	56	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	9	-2	13.7	13.9	-0.27	13.9	13.3	0.62
Michael Cage	53	53	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.46	-13	29	-42	14.9	12.7	2.17	13.4	13.9	-0.54
David Benoit	43	41	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.32	-10	26	-36	14.1	13.6	0.52	13.5	13.8	-0.30
Yinka Dare	35	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	22	-28	13.1	14.1	-1.08	13.5	13.7	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 84, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MEM 82, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
NYK 85, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%