NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	104		Excitement	1.9 [1244]		MVP	Steven Smith (ATL): +11.2%
Atlanta Hawks	136		Comeback	1.0 [1247]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -7.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Hendrickson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	10	60%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	16	62%	0.03	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Frankie King	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.16	-0.01	0.15	23	73%	0.01	4	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Cage	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bradtke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	16	39%	-0.03	2	-0.02	6	17%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.18	0.00	-0.10	21	37%	-0.07	2	-0.00	12	75%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.19	0.00	0.08	12	87%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	68%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	9	83%	0.03	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	11	77%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	8	68%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Priest Lauderdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	78%	0.02	4	-0.01	4	50%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	9	64%	0.01	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Darrin Hancock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	83%	0.00	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	23.6	14.7	24.2	1.5	22.6	112.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +43.0%

ATL +2.8%

ATL +0.1%

ATL +2.2%

ATL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	12.3	15.6	99.0	133.3	104.4
season	14.7	16.4		101.4	105.3
opponent	16.0	14.7		100.3	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.7	12.6	20.2	14.1	15.4
ATL	11.9	13.6	11.1	12.6	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bradtke	11	11	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.19	8	-40	48	8.9	16.2	-7.29	15.1	12.0	3.08
Frankie King	14	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-30	28	18.0	15.0	2.96	11.9	12.4	-0.56
Doug Overton	69	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-33	34	14.3	17.6	-3.35	12.8	11.4	1.45
Mark Hendrickson	60	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-29	26	15.0	16.0	-1.02	12.6	12.0	0.55
Michael Cage	22	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.49	-23	-9	-14	19.7	14.3	5.43	11.2	12.6	-1.42
Clar. Weatherspoon	39	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.53	-28	-4	-24	17.2	14.4	2.73	11.6	12.7	-1.13
Adrian Caldwell	53	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.25	-21	-11	-10	15.0	15.9	-0.85	12.6	12.1	0.54
Mark Davis	77	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.40	-27	-5	-22	15.8	14.6	1.18	12.3	12.6	-0.31
Jerry Stackhouse	89	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.54	-35	3	-38	15.6	14.6	1.03	11.9	14.5	-2.56
Allen Iverson	91	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.39	-30	-2	-28	15.0	18.0	-2.96	12.4	11.9	0.56

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	57	61	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.90	49	-17	66	12.0	12.8	-0.86	16.9	13.4	3.49
Dikembe Mutombo	51	55	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.89	47	-15	62	12.1	12.6	-0.57	17.8	12.8	4.96
Christian Laettner	57	60	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.72	41	-9	50	12.0	12.7	-0.70	16.8	13.6	3.14
Tyrone Corbin	40	43	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.45	26	6	20	11.9	12.6	-0.73	17.7	13.9	3.87
Mookie Blaylock	52	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.37	23	9	14	12.7	12.0	0.63	16.8	14.0	2.76
Eldridge Recasner	57	57	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	26	-20	12.4	12.2	0.22	13.5	17.7	-4.22
Henry James	30	29	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	33	-34	14.3	11.5	2.77	12.4	16.6	-4.23
Priest Lauderdale	36	36	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	38	-44	11.6	12.7	-1.13	13.6	16.4	-2.78
Alan Henderson	38	37	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	37	-42	13.3	11.8	1.47	13.6	16.4	-2.76
Jon Barry	34	35	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	36	-40	11.4	12.8	-1.44	13.9	16.2	-2.29
Darrin Hancock	36	36	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	35	-38	12.1	12.5	-0.36	15.2	15.6	-0.33
Ivano Newbill	22	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.34	-13	45	-58	13.4	12.0	1.36	11.9	16.4	-4.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, GSW 132	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
HOU 85, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	97.8%
TOR 86, DET 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%