inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 86 Excitement1.5 [1064] MVPBrandon Knight (DET): +12.2%
Detroit Pistons 105 Comeback1.0 [786] LVPLeandro Barbosa (TOR): -7.9%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Gray0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01762%0.021-0.002100%0.00
Amir Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01275%0.031-0.024100%0.01
Gary Forbes0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.090.000.09680%0.001-0.00367%-0.00
Jamaal Magloire0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerryd Bayless-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.040.000.05960%0.001-0.012100%0.00
Ed Davis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.04667%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Andrea Bargnani-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.02840%-0.011-0.014100%0.01
Linas Kleiza-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.0440%-0.0200.0000%0.00
James Johnson-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00367%0.012-0.0300%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.011050%-0.003-0.021090%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.100.00-0.02714%-0.061-0.0100%0.00
Leandro Barbosa-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.011141%-0.022-0.0600%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Knight0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.040.00-0.081363%0.143-0.02450%-0.01
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.031271%0.073-0.02475%-0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.01862%0.0400.0000%0.00
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01567%0.021-0.002100%0.01
Greg Monroe0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.05485%0.032-0.025100%0.00
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02757%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.031055%0.0100.0020%-0.00
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Walker Russell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Austin Daye00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03233%0.0010.002100%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01150%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.011054%0.003-0.034100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.731.315.726.22.427.7130.9
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +41.5%
TOR -3.7%
DET +4.3%
DET +5.9%
DET +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDETNBATORDETNBA
this game16.515.015.694.5114.1102.8
season16.516.398.999.5
opponent15.415.2104.4102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.718.418.813.316.5
DET13.114.415.517.215.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Forbes3132-0.01-0.490.49-0.279-283713.917.8-3.8816.814.12.75
Jamaal Magloire1212-0.04-0.460.420.13-6-13718.716.12.5416.014.91.12
Ed Davis4646-0.15-0.350.21-0.212-212315.417.5-2.0815.314.70.65
Linas Kleiza4545-0.17-0.330.160.01-6-13715.417.5-2.1915.214.80.44
Andrea Bargnani3435-0.20-0.300.090.09-10-9-118.615.23.3515.814.61.21
Leandro Barbosa3840-0.21-0.290.09-0.06-5-14916.816.20.5615.614.60.98
Jerryd Bayless4544-0.23-0.270.050.07-10-9-117.715.32.4314.415.6-1.22
Jose Calderon2727-0.27-0.23-0.040.14-14-5-916.316.5-0.2913.615.6-2.08
Amir Johnson3635-0.28-0.22-0.070.01-10-9-115.017.4-2.4214.215.5-1.28
DeMar DeRozan6768-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.07-8-11316.616.00.5715.015.1-0.08
Aaron Gray3537-0.31-0.19-0.120.19-17-2-1517.016.10.9214.315.5-1.17
James Johnson3939-0.34-0.16-0.180.25-201-2117.515.71.7514.515.4-0.88

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Knight63630.410.090.32-0.061631315.314.40.8916.516.30.25
Rodney Stuckey63630.400.100.31-0.2121-22314.216.7-2.4917.713.64.07
Greg Monroe45460.370.130.24-0.2521-22314.315.7-1.3517.415.51.84
Tayshaun Prince48490.360.140.22-0.4327-83514.315.8-1.4817.415.32.14
Jason Maxiell48470.300.200.11-0.2820-12114.515.6-1.1817.515.42.08
Jonas Jerebko44440.200.30-0.110.23-120-2115.614.51.1815.417.5-2.08
Ben Gordon37360.190.31-0.12-0.02712-516.713.92.8615.717.0-1.27
Damien Wilkins37350.140.36-0.220.29-524-2916.614.02.5915.417.1-1.68
Ben Wallace40380.130.37-0.240.10118-1716.414.02.3915.717.0-1.33
Will Bynum14130.000.50-0.500.09-322-2514.415.1-0.7013.117.0-3.95
Charlie Villanueva770.000.50-0.500.09-322-2511.715.3-3.5814.716.6-1.89
Walker Russell770.000.50-0.500.09-322-2511.715.3-3.5814.716.6-1.89
Austin Daye770.000.50-0.500.09-322-2511.715.3-3.5814.716.6-1.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 94, TOR 1210.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.4%
OKC 87, MIN 1290.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%
PHX 90, DAL 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%