NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	107		Excitement	12.6 [10]		MVP	John Starks (NYK): +35.4%
Indiana Pacers	110		Comeback	4.8 [199]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -53.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.13	0.22	0.00	15	72%	0.38	1	-0.02	13	92%	0.17
Charlie Ward	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	5	70%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.01	9	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	5	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.19	-0.02	-0.18	-0.00	9	50%	-0.11	1	-0.09	4	75%	0.07
Buck Williams	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,-0.24	-0.06	-0.18	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.22	4	75%	-0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.26	-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	9	29%	-0.19	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Childs	-0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.43,-0.43	-0.13	-0.30	-0.00	5	20%	-0.14	4	-0.29	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.53	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.33,-0.45,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53	-0.14	-0.38	0.01	15	54%	-0.31	6	-0.22	18	67%	-0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,0.27	0.27	-0.04	0.31	-0.01	18	51%	0.37	2	-0.10	11	91%	0.09
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.06	0.15	-0.01	14	64%	0.23	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.05
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	31%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0.05,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.05	-0.14	0.02	11	70%	0.04	2	-0.15	8	87%	0.07
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.04	-0.16	0.00	14	59%	-0.08	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.34,-0.34,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	6	41%	0.05	2	-0.20	5	100%	0.05
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	4	17%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.1	2.5	30.2	15.7	30.4	1.8	36.3	1.7	29.3	177.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +67.8%

NYK -26.8%

NYK -41.3%

IND +35.3%

IND +15.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.6	105.9	108.9	104.4
season	15.1	15.3		102.0	103.6
opponent	16.3	16.1		101.9	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	15.1	13.6	14.3	19.0	16.9	15.5
IND	16.2	14.1	17.7	17.9	13.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wallace	27	26	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.16	11	-14	25	12.3	16.6	-4.34	16.5	15.8	0.66
Patrick Ewing	79	80	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.09	15	-18	33	15.1	16.8	-1.72	16.8	13.1	3.62
Walter McCarty	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-1	-1	1.0	15.6	-14.62	0.0	16.2	-16.17
Charlie Ward	40	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.11	-12	9	-21	13.9	16.5	-2.65	15.6	16.3	-0.64
Chris Childs	66	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.51	7	-10	17	16.4	13.8	2.61	16.0	16.1	-0.07
Allan Houston	36	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	9	-21	15.1	15.7	-0.61	14.9	16.7	-1.83
John Starks	75	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.40	2	-5	7	15.7	14.8	0.85	16.1	15.7	0.37
Buck Williams	49	49	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	4	-11	15.5	15.5	-0.01	15.7	16.3	-0.61
Charles Oakley	80	80	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.62	-4	1	-5	15.8	14.2	1.56	15.7	17.0	-1.25
Larry Johnson	52	53	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.46	-13	10	-23	17.5	13.3	4.21	16.6	15.3	1.29

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	76	75	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.56	12	-9	21	16.3	15.2	1.02	16.4	12.8	3.54
Mark Jackson	81	82	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.62	2	1	1	15.8	16.8	-1.05	15.6	14.9	0.65
Jalen Rose	70	68	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.09	13	-10	23	15.5	17.2	-1.66	15.1	16.2	-1.05
Travis Best	36	35	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	-3	9	15.2	16.4	-1.18	13.7	16.4	-2.69
Duane Ferrell	14	13	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.49	-6	9	-15	14.1	16.3	-2.25	11.8	16.0	-4.17
Antonio Davis	69	68	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.52	-8	11	-19	16.3	15.4	0.88	15.8	14.8	0.93
Erick Dampier	29	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	7	-11	16.5	15.8	0.71	13.8	16.3	-2.48
Reggie Miller	83	85	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.12	-1	4	-5	16.5	13.8	2.65	15.9	13.3	2.57
Rik Smits	47	47	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.35	1	2	-1	16.3	15.7	0.58	16.6	14.5	2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.57,0.32,0.29,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.52,0.36,0.32,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.33,0.28,1	88.4%
CHI 100, DEN 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.73,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.58,1	87.8%
MEM 107, LAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.25,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.68,0.74,1	87.1%