NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	4.5 [877]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +10.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Comeback	1.4 [570]		LVP	Tom Gugliotta (MIN): -15.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.02	-0.07	9	60%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.06	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	9	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	68%	0.08	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.02
Rik Smits	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	20	54%	0.08	5	-0.08	10	70%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	6	56%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.01	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	16	53%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	62%	0.01	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	12	29%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	1.7	26.0	15.8	24.5	2.4	35.3	134.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +36.0%

IND +9.2%

MIN -3.4%

IND +6.3%

IND +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	16.7	15.0	15.6	105.6	89.2	104.4
season	15.3	15.5		103.6	103.3
opponent	15.5	16.3		105.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.3	15.4	16.4	19.6	16.7
MIN	15.3	14.6	16.3	13.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	79	83	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-2	15	16.7	16.8	-0.14	14.9	16.1	-1.22
Rik Smits	71	74	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-3	17	17.2	14.5	2.73	15.4	13.6	1.80
Antonio Davis	52	56	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.08	20	-9	29	15.6	18.2	-2.69	16.4	12.9	3.43
Reggie Miller	66	71	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	-2	15	16.6	16.8	-0.15	15.4	13.9	1.50
Derrick McKey	30	34	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	0	11	14.3	17.9	-3.58	16.2	14.3	1.84
Dale Davis	78	78	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.27	-2	13	-15	17.3	12.5	4.81	14.2	19.0	-4.76
Fred Hoiberg	24	23	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	13	-15	17.0	16.5	0.50	13.3	15.6	-2.21
Jalen Rose	42	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	19	-27	17.6	15.9	1.70	13.9	15.9	-1.97
Erick Dampier	3	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	15	-19	17.0	16.7	0.34	11.5	15.2	-3.67

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Porter	16	14	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-17	23	15.1	15.0	0.06	15.0	17.0	-1.99
Cherokee Parks	18	18	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-15	19	13.4	15.4	-1.94	20.4	15.7	4.66
Reggie Jordan	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-11	11	0.0	15.2	-15.17	19.0	16.6	2.35
Doug West	28	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-9	7	15.1	15.0	0.19	17.2	16.4	0.79
Sam Mitchell	50	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-9	7	15.4	14.5	0.89	15.9	17.6	-1.70
Stojko Vrankovic	13	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-2	-7	17.2	14.7	2.49	14.1	17.0	-2.95
Kevin Garnett	69	65	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-11	11	14.9	15.3	-0.38	16.8	16.5	0.30
James Robinson	65	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-2	-7	15.0	15.1	-0.19	16.4	17.2	-0.79
Dean Garrett	53	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-1	-9	15.7	14.1	1.51	16.3	17.2	-0.84
Tom Gugliotta	75	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.09	-16	5	-21	14.6	16.8	-2.26	16.8	16.0	0.81
Stephon Marbury	77	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.09	-17	6	-23	15.0	15.1	-0.06	17.0	15.0	1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 80, DEN 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0,0	95.9%
NYK 93, OKC 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.9%
MIL 133, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%