NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	113		Excitement	11.1 [33]		MVP	Matt Geiger (CHH): +39.0%
Charlotte Hornets	115		Comeback	7.0 [223]		LVP	Vlade Divac (CHH): -60.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.19	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.08	0.02	24	68%	0.29	4	-0.10	9	78%	-0.00
Mark Bradtke	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frankie King	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adrian Caldwell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	3	50%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06
Mark Davis	-0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	9	50%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,-0.13	0.03	-0.15	0.00	6	67%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.10	-0.04	28	51%	0.00	5	-0.13	7	86%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.19	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19	0.01	-0.19	0.02	13	56%	-0.17	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,0.39	0.39	0.02	0.37	0.00	11	54%	0.39	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Glen Rice	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.46,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.26	0.03	0.04	22	76%	0.24	0	0.00	10	100%	0.06
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	5	80%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Addison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Chambers	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.15	-0.00	10	55%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	13	47%	-0.06	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.36	-0.36	-0.04	-0.32	0.00	3	25%	-0.36	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.33
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.24,-0.18,-0.12,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.33,-0.33,-0.6	-0.60	-0.24	-0.36	0.00	18	31%	-0.22	6	-0.38	3	67%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	25.6	20.6	30.0	2.5	35.8	141.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +32.6%

PHI -7.0%

CHH +35.1%

PHI -13.4%

CHH +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHH	NBA	PHI	CHH	NBA
this game	14.2	15.2	15.6	115.3	117.3	104.4
season	14.7	15.7		101.4	108.0
opponent	16.0	14.7		106.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.3	12.9	14.1	17.0	14.2
CHH	13.8	14.8	15.9	16.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	44	47	0.49	-0.99	1.48	0.28	7	-9	16	14.9	13.7	1.18	16.4	14.0	2.49
Frankie King	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-2	2	24.0	14.1	9.87	0.0	15.3	-15.31
Michael Cage	3	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-2	2	6.7	14.5	-7.81	8.0	15.3	-7.30
Mark Bradtke	17	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	0	-2	12.1	14.7	-2.56	13.4	15.5	-2.13
Adrian Caldwell	33	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	3	-8	15.6	13.6	2.02	14.6	15.4	-0.82
Mark Davis	84	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-3	4	13.6	18.1	-4.48	15.4	13.6	1.76
Clar. Weatherspoon	85	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-4	6	14.6	11.6	3.02	15.5	12.9	2.57
Jerry Stackhouse	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	14.2	0.0	14.23	15.2	0.0	15.15
Allen Iverson	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	14.2	0.0	14.23	15.2	0.0	15.15
Mark Hendrickson	27	26	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.53	-9	7	-16	14.1	14.3	-0.22	13.8	15.6	-1.83

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Geiger	70	69	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.48	12	-10	22	14.7	16.3	-1.64	14.3	14.1	0.24
Vlade Divac	73	73	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.41	9	-7	16	15.2	15.0	0.26	14.6	13.2	1.34
Donald Royal	33	33	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-9	20	14.8	15.4	-0.60	13.8	14.5	-0.72
Malik Rose	22	22	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.72	-7	9	-16	17.5	14.5	3.08	13.9	14.3	-0.48
Tony Delk	30	30	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	-6	14	15.3	15.1	0.26	14.8	14.0	0.86
Rafael Addison	25	25	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	-4	10	15.2	15.1	0.06	16.3	13.5	2.80
Muggsy Bogues	68	68	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.37	-6	8	-14	15.1	15.3	-0.26	14.0	14.8	-0.86
Glen Rice	81	80	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.37	-8	10	-18	15.4	13.8	1.68	13.6	16.9	-3.25
Tom Chambers	21	21	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.02	-9	11	-20	16.0	14.9	1.14	14.4	14.2	0.19
Ricky Pierce	67	69	-0.65	1.15	-1.80	-0.47	-6	8	-14	14.3	16.9	-2.61	14.0	14.7	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.23,0.3,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.61,0.45,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 95, MIL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.41,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.42,1	91.2%
CHH 100, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	90.0%
IND 110, PHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.73,1	89.8%