NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	100		Excitement	8.5 [172]		MVP	Bryce Drew (CHH): +15.5%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	8.1 [236]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -25.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryce Drew	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.01	-0.02	5	120%	0.16	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.02	9	86%	0.20	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	15	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	8	42%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome Moiso	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.04	-0.18	-0.01	19	47%	-0.18	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.07
David Wesley	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.25	-0.13	-0.12	0.00	16	45%	0.03	5	-0.28	6	83%	0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.01	10	73%	0.18	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.08
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.11	0.00	6	58%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	9	73%	0.15	2	-0.10	8	75%	-0.02
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	24	43%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	3	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	25.9	15.0	26.0	1.8	30.0	126.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +11.2%

UTA +16.8%

UTA +9.6%

UTA +19.2%

CHH -6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	UTA	NBA	CHH	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	16.9	15.6	113.6	119.5	102.3
season	15.9	16.1		102.2	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.6		101.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.7	13.8	15.3	18.4	16.0
UTA	14.6	17.5	17.5	18.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Moiso	13	14	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.08	9	-13	22	19.7	15.4	4.33	20.3	16.3	4.01
Robert Traylor	26	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-2	0	14.5	16.6	-2.07	17.0	16.9	0.05
Elden Campbell	40	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	2	-8	15.4	16.5	-1.15	16.2	17.5	-1.28
Bryce Drew	32	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.20	-1	-3	2	17.6	15.1	2.55	16.4	17.2	-0.88
David Wesley	73	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-4	4	15.8	16.7	-0.88	16.6	18.4	-1.79
Jamaal Magloire	40	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-4	4	17.0	15.1	1.88	17.6	16.4	1.21
P.J. Brown	70	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.41	0	-4	4	16.3	14.8	1.54	16.9	16.9	0.05
Baron Davis	71	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	3	-10	15.4	18.4	-2.99	17.5	14.4	3.04
Lee Nailon	75	73	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.30	-13	9	-22	15.4	19.7	-4.33	16.3	20.3	-4.01

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	36	38	1.00	-0.50	1.49	0.64	12	-8	20	17.9	16.2	1.75	16.2	15.8	0.42
John Stockton	66	66	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.41	11	-7	18	17.2	15.9	1.34	16.0	16.0	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	67	68	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-5	14	16.4	18.6	-2.25	16.8	13.3	3.43
John Crotty	36	38	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	-1	6	17.6	16.4	1.18	17.4	14.9	2.45
Karl Malone	77	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-2	8	17.1	15.4	1.72	16.4	13.4	3.01
DeShawn Stevenson	15	15	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	0	4	16.4	17.0	-0.63	14.4	16.3	-1.93
Quincy Lewis	25	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.14	3	1	2	15.9	17.3	-1.46	15.2	16.3	-1.12
Greg Ostertag	22	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.12	-7	11	-18	17.5	16.7	0.72	19.5	14.8	4.67
John Amaechi	18	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.06	-3	7	-10	14.9	17.4	-2.49	13.6	16.7	-3.09
John Starks	32	32	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	0.06	-15	19	-34	16.5	17.1	-0.61	15.7	16.2	-0.44
Jarron Collins	41	40	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.31	-5	9	-14	17.1	16.8	0.29	12.9	18.5	-5.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 110, PHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.73,1	91.3%
BKN 95, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.83,1	90.8%
MIL 93, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.32,0.58,1	90.5%