NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	122		Excitement	6.1 [562]		MVP	Wesley Person (PHX): +19.1%
Denver Nuggets	113		Comeback	3.1 [747]		LVP	Tom Hammonds (DEN): -7.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.07	-0.03	13	62%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.01	14	73%	0.19	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Danny Manning	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.05	0.02	15	65%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rex Chapman	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	11	54%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cedric Ceballos	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	4	87%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horacio Llamas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	11	54%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	14	40%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Loren Meyer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	61%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.07	12	46%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jerome Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	5	70%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.01	10	60%	0.06	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.03	0.07	22	54%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	21	54%	0.04	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	9	52%	-0.02	3	-0.05	11	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	26.5	15.4	22.3	1.8	23.0	112.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +46.0%

DEN -6.2%

DEN -7.0%

PHX +21.6%

DEN -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	14.4	16.1	15.6	128.4	120.2	104.4
season	14.6	15.2		106.8	102.3
opponent	15.3	15.6		108.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.5	14.6	11.1	19.3	14.4
DEN	19.2	15.4	15.1	15.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hot Rod Williams	80	80	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.09	15	-6	21	13.5	19.2	-5.72	16.3	15.1	1.22
Rex Chapman	64	62	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-3	15	13.2	16.9	-3.75	15.6	17.1	-1.45
Kevin Johnson	71	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-6	21	12.8	19.0	-6.24	17.0	13.1	3.88
Cedric Ceballos	27	27	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-2	13	13.0	14.9	-1.93	17.0	15.8	1.20
Wesley Person	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.24	2	7	-5	16.6	12.4	4.14	15.2	16.9	-1.65
Jason Kidd	70	69	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	5	-1	15.0	12.6	2.41	15.4	17.9	-2.47
Danny Manning	56	55	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	8	-7	14.6	14.1	0.43	15.1	17.5	-2.32
Ben Davis	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	36.0	14.1	21.85	6.0	16.2	-10.22
Horacio Llamas	23	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	14	-19	17.6	13.3	4.26	16.3	16.1	0.20
Steve Nash	22	20	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	15	-21	17.4	13.5	3.94	17.3	15.8	1.52
Loren Meyer	16	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	13	-17	13.4	14.6	-1.13	19.1	15.5	3.56

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaPhonso Ellis	27	27	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-12	15	18.4	15.2	3.28	14.0	14.5	-0.53
Brooks Thompson	57	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-8	7	15.1	17.7	-2.63	15.3	12.9	2.35
Kenny Smith	48	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-7	5	15.4	16.9	-1.54	12.9	15.9	-2.97
Anthony Goldwire	28	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-3	-3	17.7	15.4	2.29	13.5	14.7	-1.25
Ervin Johnson	44	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	1	-11	18.6	13.9	4.71	14.0	14.6	-0.59
Tom Hammonds	56	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-6	3	14.3	18.7	-4.37	15.4	12.9	2.47
Dale Ellis	89	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	16.2	15.0	1.17	14.3	16.2	-1.92
Antonio McDyess	88	90	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-2	-5	16.0	18.0	-2.02	14.0	20.4	-6.36
Jerome Allen	33	33	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.16	-12	3	-15	15.5	16.4	-0.86	15.9	13.6	2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 110, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
MIN 105, DAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
NJN 93, SEA 70	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%