NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	5.8 [511]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +22.9%
Dallas Mavericks	90		Comeback	3.9 [116]		LVP	Lamar Odom (DAL): -23.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.19	0.07	0.03	16	74%	0.29	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.03
Derrick Williams	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	7	59%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Wayne Ellington	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	15	44%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Nikola Pekovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	5	87%	0.15	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Darko Milicic	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.06	-0.05	16	41%	-0.06	7	-0.12	9	89%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	-0.05	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	11	58%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	19	45%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	11	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.19	-0.05	-0.01	14	17%	-0.18	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.8	27.2	16.7	22.2	2.5	30.3	125.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +26.8%

MIN +23.1%

MIN +3.4%

DAL -6.7%

MIN +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.6	15.6	110.5	93.8	102.8
season	15.3	15.5		102.6	101.6
opponent	15.5	15.1		100.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.3	15.2	15.9	15.7	15.5
DAL	15.3	14.2	13.6	15.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	86	87	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.10	16	-1	17	15.7	13.6	2.18	14.7	14.2	0.46
Wayne Ellington	75	77	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.07	19	-4	23	15.4	16.1	-0.79	14.7	14.5	0.14
Nikola Pekovic	40	40	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	1	13	15.0	15.9	-0.87	14.7	14.6	0.20
Ricky Rubio	92	92	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	1	13	15.4	18.7	-3.24	14.9	9.2	5.62
Anthony Tolliver	35	34	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	11	-7	15.5	15.5	-0.06	14.9	14.5	0.38
Derrick Williams	48	49	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	9	-3	15.5	15.6	-0.05	15.0	14.2	0.83
Darko Milicic	45	46	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	10	-5	15.8	15.3	0.52	15.3	14.0	1.28
Wesley Johnson	35	36	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	13	-11	16.2	15.1	1.11	13.2	15.5	-2.31
Anthony Randolph	19	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.01	-5	20	-25	15.0	15.7	-0.66	12.6	15.1	-2.56

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	28	26	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.15	6	-21	27	13.2	15.2	-1.96	16.0	15.3	0.65
Dominique Jones	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	12.0	14.7	-2.72	21.0	15.4	5.59
Brian Cardinal	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-19	23	13.3	15.3	-1.98	16.3	15.2	1.09
Rodrigue Beaubois	41	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-13	11	14.2	14.9	-0.73	15.7	15.4	0.39
Lamar Odom	32	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-5	-5	16.8	13.5	3.31	14.7	16.0	-1.31
Delonte West	37	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-5	-5	14.9	14.5	0.37	15.2	15.7	-0.46
Jason Terry	60	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-7	-1	14.0	15.7	-1.65	15.4	15.7	-0.36
Ian Mahinmi	37	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-5	-5	14.8	14.5	0.29	15.0	15.8	-0.83
Yi Jianlian	39	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	-5	-10	5	13.2	15.6	-2.41	16.4	14.9	1.46
Brendan Haywood	48	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-6	-3	15.5	13.7	1.81	15.6	15.5	0.14
Shawn Marion	60	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	0	-15	15.1	13.8	1.33	15.3	15.9	-0.51
Jason Kidd	63	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.14	-18	3	-21	15.3	13.4	1.85	15.3	16.0	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 122, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
MIN 99, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%
NYK 114, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.0%