NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	117		Excitement	6.6 [466]		MVP	Lamond Murray (LAC): +21.7%
Boston Celtics	102		Comeback	3.1 [541]		LVP	David Wesley (BOS): -25.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.11	0.06	15	75%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.02	5	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	7	56%	0.08	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05
Terry Dehere	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	63%	0.10	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Brent Barry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	12	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.05	8	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Manning	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	11	55%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	13	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	13	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.01	-0.09	24	61%	0.22	4	-0.08	11	82%	0.05
Marty Conlon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.05	-0.02	12	76%	0.18	4	-0.16	1	100%	0.00
Brett Szabo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nate Driggers	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Hamer	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Alton Lister	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	0	75%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	17	42%	-0.04	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.15	-0.11	-0.00	20	33%	-0.23	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	27.0	15.5	25.4	1.6	26.8	120.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +44.2%

BOS -33.6%

LAC +7.0%

LAC +25.8%

LAC +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BOS	NBA	LAC	BOS	NBA
this game	15.8	14.7	15.6	124.5	107.4	104.4
season	15.8	14.8		102.9	101.8
opponent	14.7	15.1		109.5	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.5	15.3	17.0	16.3	15.8
BOS	16.1	14.1	13.7	15.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	53	53	0.76	-0.26	1.03	-0.06	28	-13	41	15.8	15.8	0.07	14.5	14.9	-0.44
Terry Dehere	47	48	0.75	-0.25	0.99	-0.11	29	-14	43	15.8	15.8	0.06	14.5	14.9	-0.37
Lamond Murray	33	33	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.04	23	-8	31	15.1	16.2	-1.14	13.8	15.1	-1.28
Lorenzen Wright	50	51	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	12	-9	15.3	16.4	-1.06	14.6	14.8	-0.16
Loy Vaught	63	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	0	15	16.5	14.4	2.15	14.5	15.0	-0.51
Richard Manning	26	26	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	6	3	17.1	15.3	1.82	14.9	14.6	0.28
Bo Outlaw	46	47	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.20	-7	22	-29	15.6	16.0	-0.41	15.3	14.1	1.13
Rodney Rogers	61	60	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	17	-19	15.4	16.5	-1.15	15.1	14.0	1.13
Malik Sealy	45	46	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.12	-11	26	-37	16.2	15.4	0.73	14.7	14.7	-0.06
Darrick Martin	46	46	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.05	-12	27	-39	15.5	16.1	-0.67	14.8	14.6	0.23

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Driggers	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.16	-7	-8	1	10.3	15.0	-4.64	14.2	15.9	-1.74
Alton Lister	15	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	-7	-1	12.4	15.1	-2.71	16.7	15.6	1.03
David Wesley	83	81	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-8	1	14.8	13.8	0.97	15.7	16.5	-0.86
Michael Hawkins	32	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-6	-3	12.7	15.7	-3.06	17.8	14.8	3.01
Steve Hamer	60	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-7	-1	14.9	14.3	0.68	15.9	15.6	0.30
Brett Szabo	31	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	0	-15	14.3	14.9	-0.63	14.6	16.3	-1.70
Marty Conlon	75	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-11	7	15.4	12.0	3.34	15.6	16.7	-1.15
Antoine Walker	90	89	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-3	-9	15.0	9.2	5.79	15.9	13.6	2.32
Todd Day	83	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-10	5	15.1	11.9	3.17	15.5	17.8	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.3,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.05,0	93.5%
SAS 88, LAC 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.05,0	93.0%
NOK 88, POR 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	92.5%