NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	80		Excitement	3.2 [1114]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +15.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	103		Comeback	1.1 [1239]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -17.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elliot Perry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	8	61%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Andrew Lang	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Armen Gilliam	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wood	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Earl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	8	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Wolf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	54%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Johnny Newman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.16	-0.00	-0.11	13	38%	-0.01	4	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Vin Baker	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.17	-0.00	-0.07	12	41%	-0.03	6	-0.08	5	40%	-0.03
Glenn Robinson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.01	0.07	17	44%	-0.07	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.00	14	79%	0.19	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	12	65%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	9	50%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	10	45%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nate McMillan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.03	8	59%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	49.0	1.7	25.4	15.6	27.0	1.8	25.0	145.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +42.0%

MIL -4.1%

MIL -0.1%

SEA +10.5%

SEA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	SEA	NBA	MIL	SEA	NBA
this game	16.2	14.4	15.6	85.1	109.6	104.4
season	16.0	14.9		103.9	108.9
opponent	16.2	15.5		100.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.8	14.8	17.8	16.5	16.2
SEA	11.9	19.5	14.3	12.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Armen Gilliam	30	29	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.38	14	-37	51	14.0	17.3	-3.33	15.8	13.8	2.06
Elliot Perry	53	53	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-27	31	15.3	17.5	-2.22	15.4	13.1	2.36
Acie Earl	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-17	11	11.9	16.6	-4.76	8.3	14.9	-6.61
Joe Wolf	19	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-28	33	17.2	16.0	1.22	14.2	14.4	-0.20
David Wood	9	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.19	-8	-15	7	10.8	16.8	-6.03	10.1	14.8	-4.68
Johnny Newman	58	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-20	17	16.1	16.5	-0.48	14.9	13.6	1.33
Andrew Lang	24	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-13	3	17.6	15.8	1.87	14.0	14.6	-0.61
Chucky Brown	54	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-16	9	16.5	15.8	0.71	14.4	14.4	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	60	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	-4	-15	16.1	16.5	-0.37	14.1	14.9	-0.81
Ray Allen	59	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.49	-33	10	-43	17.4	14.2	3.24	13.9	15.1	-1.21
Sherman Douglas	39	39	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.25	-25	2	-27	17.1	15.6	1.53	13.3	15.2	-1.83
Vin Baker	57	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.27	-27	4	-31	17.1	14.9	2.12	15.3	13.0	2.32

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hersey Hawkins	62	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.32	29	-6	35	14.1	14.9	-0.76	17.2	14.5	2.72
Detlef Schrempf	56	57	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.42	30	-7	37	14.1	14.8	-0.73	16.8	15.4	1.37
Gary Payton	53	53	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	5	13	14.3	14.5	-0.15	16.4	16.0	0.42
Nate McMillan	50	49	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.19	21	2	19	14.6	14.1	0.50	16.5	15.9	0.62
Sam Perkins	50	51	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	13	-3	13.7	15.2	-1.46	15.6	17.0	-1.45
Shawn Kemp	46	45	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	15	-7	15.3	13.5	1.85	16.2	16.3	-0.11
David Wingate	49	49	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	19	-15	14.2	14.6	-0.46	15.6	17.0	-1.43
Jim McIlvaine	7	7	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	21	-19	15.9	14.3	1.57	18.9	16.0	2.83
Eric Snow	24	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	21	-19	12.8	15.0	-2.17	16.5	16.1	0.39
Terry Cummings	32	31	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	30	-37	16.7	13.2	3.46	17.2	15.8	1.43
Craig Ehlo	20	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	25	-27	12.9	14.8	-1.85	14.0	16.9	-2.86
Larry Stewart	21	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	23	-23	14.9	14.3	0.64	13.8	16.9	-3.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 67, CLE 81	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MIA 84, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
OKC 74, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%