NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	112		Excitement	4.3 [915]		MVP	Bo Outlaw (LAC): +15.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	2.5 [532]		LVP	Malik Sealy (LAC): -13.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	15	69%	0.16	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	10	82%	0.15	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Danny Manning	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayman Tisdale	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	3	37%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Horacio Llamas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	23	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Hot Rod Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	4	85%	0.04	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.01	-0.03	11	29%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.02	0.01	11	83%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	14	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	58%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Dwayne Schintzius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	6	17%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	11	50%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	18	42%	-0.05	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Malik Sealy	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	17	32%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.6	23.2	16.4	26.2	0.8	26.0	116.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +48.9%

PHX +9.1%

LAC -7.1%

LAC -3.0%

PHX +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAC	NBA	PHX	LAC	NBA
this game	14.2	15.4	15.6	115.5	98.0	104.4
season	14.6	15.8		106.8	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.6		105.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	11.9	14.9	15.4	14.2
LAC	14.3	16.2	17.1	13.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Johnson	74	75	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.09	23	-7	30	14.1	14.4	-0.37	16.1	12.9	3.28
Cedric Ceballos	77	78	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.01	18	-2	20	13.9	15.3	-1.44	16.2	12.2	3.99
Hot Rod Williams	93	93	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	0	16	14.3	9.7	4.59	15.6	10.8	4.82
Jason Kidd	65	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	1	14	13.5	15.5	-2.05	14.5	17.3	-2.83
Danny Manning	64	63	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.01	13	3	10	15.1	12.3	2.85	16.4	13.5	2.85
Wayman Tisdale	20	22	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	9	-2	12.2	14.7	-2.46	15.7	15.3	0.39
Rex Chapman	50	49	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	14	-12	15.5	12.8	2.69	16.0	14.8	1.24
Steve Nash	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	11.3	14.2	-2.91	10.7	15.5	-4.86
Horacio Llamas	3	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	19	-22	11.3	14.2	-2.91	13.5	15.5	-1.96
Wesley Person	24	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	19	-22	14.1	14.2	-0.09	11.1	16.8	-5.77
Ben Davis	12	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.09	-7	23	-30	13.0	14.3	-1.32	10.7	16.0	-5.27

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Schintzius	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	12.0	15.6	-3.60	12.5	14.3	-1.76
Eric Piatkowski	16	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-18	20	14.1	15.6	-1.57	15.9	13.8	2.17
Lamond Murray	24	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-16	16	13.9	15.9	-1.93	15.4	13.7	1.73
Lorenzen Wright	59	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-10	4	15.5	15.2	0.37	14.0	14.4	-0.42
Darrick Martin	72	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-11	6	15.1	16.2	-1.11	14.2	14.1	0.11
Terry Dehere	31	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-8	0	14.0	16.0	-1.97	14.7	13.9	0.82
Malik Sealy	64	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-8	0	16.2	13.9	2.24	14.3	13.9	0.37
Brent Barry	13	12	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-3	-10	18.0	15.0	3.02	9.3	14.8	-5.50
Rodney Rogers	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-2	-12	15.3	15.5	-0.18	14.2	14.1	0.08
Loy Vaught	75	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.09	-12	-4	-8	15.5	14.9	0.66	14.6	12.7	1.84
Bo Outlaw	71	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	0	-16	15.9	13.9	2.00	13.5	15.7	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.43,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.11,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0	94.8%
ATL 127, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
MIA 96, CHA 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%