NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	96		Excitement	4.2 [1006]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +18.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	82		Comeback	2.0 [374]		LVP	Kwame Brown (CHA): -7.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.18	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.05	0.00	20	67%	0.23	4	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.18	0.02	0.06	26	66%	0.21	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
James Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	9	48%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joel Anthony	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sherron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.04	10	59%	0.03	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.04
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	15	58%	0.02	5	-0.08	8	87%	0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	14	29%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	4	42%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	26.6	15.4	27.4	2.5	27.3	126.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +50.8%

MIA +4.0%

MIA +7.5%

CHA -7.4%

CHA -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CHA	NBA	MIA	CHA	NBA
this game	15.3	16.9	15.5	106.7	92.1	105.7
season	16.0	16.2		109.0	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.6		106.5	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.4	16.2	13.3	18.8	15.3
CHA	15.9	19.0	17.4	15.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	57	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	-3	20	14.9	15.9	-0.96	18.1	14.5	3.59
Joel Anthony	64	62	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-1	16	16.6	12.1	4.48	16.7	17.4	-0.69
LeBron James	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	-6	26	14.6	17.5	-2.97	17.2	15.9	1.35
Carlos Arroyo	39	38	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	7	0	13.3	16.8	-3.47	17.4	16.5	0.98
Juwan Howard	24	23	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	5	4	15.7	15.2	0.50	16.7	16.9	-0.20
Chris Bosh	66	66	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	9	-4	15.2	15.7	-0.50	16.9	16.7	0.20
Mario Chalmers	51	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	7	0	16.8	13.3	3.47	16.5	17.4	-0.98
Mike Miller	15	15	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	16	-18	18.1	14.7	3.40	16.9	16.9	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	26	27	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	15	-16	12.1	16.6	-4.48	17.4	16.7	0.69
James Jones	40	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	21	-28	16.0	14.8	1.21	14.4	18.7	-4.34

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	24	24	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.01	6	-20	26	14.7	17.7	-3.04	17.0	14.7	2.37
Eduardo Najera	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	15.8	17.0	-1.15	19.4	15.1	4.34
Sherron Collins	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	15.8	17.0	-1.15	19.4	15.1	4.34
Derrick Brown	34	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-15	16	15.8	17.6	-1.77	17.6	13.9	3.63
Shaun Livingston	47	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-12	10	15.5	18.5	-2.96	17.3	13.2	4.06
Boris Diaw	37	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-12	10	18.1	16.0	2.04	14.8	15.7	-0.94
Kwame Brown	43	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-12	10	18.1	15.8	2.29	14.1	16.4	-2.36
Dominic McGuire	46	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	0	-14	15.6	18.3	-2.74	15.3	15.3	0.02
Tyrus Thomas	38	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-1	-12	16.7	17.0	-0.31	16.4	14.4	2.00
Stephen Jackson	71	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.01	-16	2	-18	16.7	17.4	-0.70	14.2	19.3	-5.02
D.J. Augustin	53	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.01	-16	2	-18	18.2	15.0	3.22	14.7	16.3	-1.60
Gerald Henderson	42	43	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.04	-20	6	-26	18.8	15.2	3.64	12.7	17.7	-5.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 94, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
NYK 101, BOS 77	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
CHI 94, CHH 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%