NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	83		Excitement	6.4 [503]		MVP	Derek Harper (DAL): +18.8%
Dallas Mavericks	91		Comeback	2.1 [110]		LVP	Chris Childs (NYK): -25.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	75%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
John Starks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	13	43%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Wallace	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Buck Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	13	57%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	11	46%	-0.05	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Allan Houston	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	11	35%	-0.08	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	-0.26	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.26	-0.06	-0.16	0.04	6	61%	-0.11	4	-0.15	6	83%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.08	0.00	9	82%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.11	-0.01	7	56%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.08	0.04	12	61%	0.13	2	-0.08	12	100%	0.05
Greg Dreiling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martin Muursepp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	20	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	8	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	1.8	28.4	16.5	25.5	2.4	37.6	142.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +33.5%

DAL +8.7%

NYK -9.8%

DAL +16.2%

DAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DAL	NBA	NYK	DAL	NBA
this game	15.0	16.8	15.6	93.3	98.9	104.4
season	15.1	15.9		102.0	99.1
opponent	15.7	16.1		105.5	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.5	14.4	17.5	14.9	15.0
DAL	16.4	19.9	16.0	15.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.06	-2	-6	4	2.0	15.2	-13.17	1.0	17.1	-16.12
Allan Houston	55	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-4	0	13.9	16.9	-3.01	15.9	18.1	-2.19
John Wallace	21	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-5	2	15.6	14.8	0.78	17.0	16.7	0.25
Charlie Ward	24	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-3	-2	18.0	13.9	4.08	16.5	16.9	-0.43
Charles Oakley	72	74	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.22	1	-9	10	14.4	17.6	-3.24	16.0	20.0	-4.01
Chris Childs	65	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-5	2	13.9	18.0	-4.08	16.9	16.5	0.43
Patrick Ewing	69	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-4	0	14.6	16.6	-2.03	17.2	15.6	1.55
Buck Williams	32	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	1	-10	17.3	13.7	3.58	18.8	15.5	3.34
John Starks	51	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	0	-8	15.2	14.8	0.36	16.4	17.3	-0.97
Larry Johnson	55	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-5	2	16.1	13.3	2.80	17.8	15.3	2.47

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Harper	61	56	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.23	18	-10	28	16.6	17.1	-0.54	16.0	13.4	2.59
Greg Dreiling	52	48	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	-2	12	17.2	16.2	1.06	15.7	14.3	1.40
A.C. Green	70	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	0	8	16.0	19.2	-3.17	14.7	16.1	-1.31
Michael Finley	88	85	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	1	6	16.8	15.2	1.59	15.0	15.0	0.02
Erick Strickland	69	67	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	4	0	15.0	22.1	-7.09	14.7	16.1	-1.42
Martin Muursepp	4	4	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	7	-6	15.2	16.8	-1.59	15.0	15.0	-0.02
Samaki Walker	26	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	9	-10	18.2	16.2	1.98	16.8	14.4	2.32
Shawn Bradley	36	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	9	-10	16.6	16.9	-0.36	13.7	16.0	-2.29
Khalid Reeves	54	55	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	14	-20	19.2	13.3	5.98	14.5	15.9	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.58,0.7,0.59,0.83,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.9,0.93,1,1	93.5%
MEM 103, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.46,0.66,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.91,1	93.5%
TOR 95, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.95,1	93.1%