NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	90		Excitement	7.8 [266]		MVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): +18.4%
Golden State Warriors	85		Comeback	3.0 [310]		LVP	Joe Smith (GSW): -22.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.18	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.04	0.16	0.01	23	63%	0.31	5	-0.13	3	33%	-0.05
Othella Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	53%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Willis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.1,0,0	-0.03	0.04	0.01	11	59%	0.09	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.03
Sam Mack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	6	57%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bullard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mario Elie	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	57%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Matt Maloney	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Randy Livingston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	61%	0.08	3	-0.12	9	100%	0.09
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	10%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Felton Spencer	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	6	37%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	22	54%	0.10	6	-0.24	4	100%	0.03
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	18	47%	-0.02	4	-0.20	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	24.3	15.6	26.7	1.0	42.1	135.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +54.0%

GSW -0.6%

GSW -31.2%

HOU +25.7%

HOU +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	14.8	15.6	94.7	90.4	104.4
season	15.5	15.0		107.2	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.4		109.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.0	16.8	15.5	13.8	15.7
GSW	15.7	13.2	17.3	13.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	46	46	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.47	13	-8	21	15.5	15.9	-0.38	15.2	14.4	0.86
Matt Maloney	51	50	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.33	10	-5	15	16.1	15.2	0.87	14.8	14.7	0.05
Kevin Willis	60	60	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	-2	9	16.3	14.7	1.55	15.4	13.6	1.82
Hakeem Olajuwon	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	2	1	15.5	16.4	-0.97	14.7	15.0	-0.35
Mario Elie	69	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	-1	7	15.4	16.4	-1.00	15.1	13.9	1.23
Othella Harrington	57	55	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	5	-5	15.9	15.4	0.46	14.5	15.2	-0.64
Sam Mack	26	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	6	-7	16.4	15.4	1.00	13.9	15.1	-1.23
Randy Livingston	44	44	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	10	-15	15.2	16.1	-0.87	14.7	14.8	-0.05
Eddie Johnson	51	50	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.12	-8	13	-21	15.3	16.1	-0.78	14.0	15.7	-1.66

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	25	24	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.06	4	-9	13	15.2	14.6	0.63	15.0	15.9	-0.87
Scott Burrell	34	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-11	17	13.5	15.5	-2.00	14.2	16.5	-2.32
Todd Fuller	11	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-2	-1	15.9	14.6	1.28	12.1	16.2	-4.13
Bimbo Coles	45	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	16.1	13.6	2.56	17.7	14.0	3.70
Mark Price	49	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-4	3	13.6	16.1	-2.56	14.0	17.7	-3.70
Chris Mullin	69	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	1	-7	14.6	15.4	-0.85	16.1	14.6	1.54
Joe Smith	85	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.34	-5	0	-5	14.7	15.2	-0.49	16.0	12.7	3.35
Felton Spencer	64	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.33	-8	3	-11	14.9	14.6	0.31	16.7	13.4	3.33
Latrell Sprewell	88	89	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.34	-8	3	-11	15.1	9.3	5.81	15.5	18.3	-2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.24,0.37,0.22,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.61,0.38,0.36,0.24,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 118, CHA 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.03,0.02,0	92.6%
BOS 106, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.05,0	92.3%
POR 88, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.28,0	91.6%