NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	118		Excitement	7.8 [268]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (POR): +27.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	123		Comeback	25.5 [181]		LVP	Stacey Augmon (POR): -31.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17	0.18	-0.01	0.00	12	90%	0.20	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Xavier McDaniel	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.05	0.02	9	72%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.08	0.02	13	61%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Kevin Edwards	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.02	-0.10	0.04	20	57%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Kendall Gill	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.13	-0.17	0.01	12	41%	-0.16	3	-0.15	8	62%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.19,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.13	-0.01	13	74%	0.27	0	0.00	12	58%	-0.02
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.08	0.00	8	52%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Rumeal Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	4	112%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	15	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.09	-0.12	0.04	16	68%	-0.01	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.04
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	10	37%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.10	-0.22	-0.00	3	50%	-0.08	4	-0.23	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.5	25.7	15.7	28.1	2.4	35.6	133.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +35.4%

POR +1.6%

POR +21.1%

NJN -8.5%

POR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	POR	NBA	NJN	POR	NBA
this game	14.4	14.9	15.6	119.2	125.5	104.4
season	15.4	15.5		101.7	105.2
opponent	15.5	14.9		101.6	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.2	15.0	14.5	15.8	14.4
POR	16.6	13.8	16.9	12.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	43	40	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.18	4	-9	13	13.7	14.9	-1.13	15.4	14.5	0.87
Sam Cassell	76	77	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.32	11	-16	27	14.1	15.2	-1.03	15.7	11.8	3.88
Joe Kleine	31	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.21	-10	5	-15	16.1	13.6	2.45	14.1	15.2	-1.11
Kerry Kittles	54	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-4	3	14.9	13.8	1.11	14.5	15.3	-0.88
Jim Jackson	75	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-1	-3	14.5	14.0	0.56	14.4	16.2	-1.73
Eric Montross	68	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.56	5	-10	15	13.6	16.1	-2.45	15.2	14.1	1.11
Kevin Edwards	20	18	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.05	-19	14	-33	16.5	13.8	2.65	12.7	15.3	-2.68
Kendall Gill	72	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.46	-2	-3	1	13.5	16.7	-3.14	15.3	13.9	1.40
Xavier McDaniel	56	58	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.53	-9	4	-13	14.9	13.7	1.13	14.5	15.4	-0.87

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	48	48	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.31	22	-17	39	13.2	16.5	-3.27	16.0	12.8	3.22
Stacey Augmon	47	47	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.34	20	-15	35	13.6	16.1	-2.51	16.6	12.3	4.29
Gary Trent	46	47	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.32	15	-10	25	13.1	16.4	-3.25	14.9	14.0	0.89
Clifford Robinson	84	84	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-4	13	14.8	15.4	-0.58	13.8	17.7	-3.87
Kenny Anderson	77	78	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-3	11	14.9	14.9	0.00	13.8	16.7	-2.96
Rumeal Robinson	21	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	8	-11	14.9	14.9	-0.00	16.7	13.8	2.96
Rasheed Wallace	60	61	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.01	-9	14	-23	16.2	12.7	3.46	14.1	14.8	-0.66
Arvydas Sabonis	42	42	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	0.09	-18	23	-41	16.7	13.4	3.29	12.3	15.9	-3.56
Isaiah Rider	65	67	-0.58	1.08	-1.66	-0.02	-19	24	-43	15.9	12.8	3.12	13.5	16.2	-2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.53,0.62,0.43,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 93, DAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.29,0.54,0.69,0.88,0.98,0.99,1	89.2%
SAC 103, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.23,0.15,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.86,0.85,1	88.9%
CHA 85, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.79,0.77,0.98,1	88.6%