inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 108 Excitement2.1 [1226] MVPMichael Jordan (CHI): +11.1%
Chicago Bulls 126 Comeback1.0 [1248] LVPMitch Richmond (SAC): -10.2%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf0.040,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.190.000.151776%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Kevin Gamble0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02343%0.0100.001100%0.00
Lionel Simmons0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03375%0.0000.002100%0.00
Bobby Hurley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Grayer-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.05133%-0.001-0.00450%-0.00
Kevin Salvadori-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04125%-0.011-0.00250%-0.00
Michael Smith-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01450%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Tyus Edney-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.04556%0.013-0.03650%-0.01
Olden Polynice-0.050,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.000.000.041450%-0.031-0.01250%-0.01
Billy Owens-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.050.000.101467%-0.013-0.04250%-0.00
Corliss Williamson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.010.000.061445%-0.0700.0030%-0.03
Mitch Richmond-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.22-0.00-0.111413%-0.082-0.022100%0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Jordan0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.210.000.102078%0.122-0.00580%0.00
Scottie Pippen0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.14-0.000.031674%0.142-0.04771%-0.00
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03462%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Jason Caffey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.100.00-0.131441%0.031-0.00956%0.00
Dickey Simpkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02233%0.0000.002100%0.00
Luc Longley0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01860%0.022-0.02450%-0.00
Robert Parish0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01050%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Ron Harper0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00355%-0.0100.00580%-0.01
Dennis Rodman0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04375%0.014-0.022100%-0.00
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.02743%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Randy Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.02850%-0.031-0.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.327.714.630.22.323.6124.9
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +44.2%
CHI +2.8%
SAC -1.1%
CHI +3.9%
CHI +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACCHINBASACCHINBA
this game15.413.715.6109.1127.3104.4
season15.415.5102.4110.5
opponent16.115.499.8106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC17.816.315.212.515.4
CHI12.813.112.117.013.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Hurley1212-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-232810.216.1-5.9518.413.05.37
Lionel Simmons3029-0.00-0.500.50-0.3512-304212.316.7-4.4416.312.63.70
Kevin Salvadori2725-0.00-0.500.49-0.3311-294012.116.6-4.5115.713.02.65
Jeff Grayer1919-0.16-0.340.180.16-11-7-415.615.30.2315.313.31.94
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf6363-0.23-0.270.04-0.05-6-12615.914.61.3212.316.2-3.97
Mitch Richmond5555-0.26-0.24-0.020.21-16-2-1416.214.31.9012.415.3-2.84
Tyus Edney2930-0.27-0.23-0.040.17-15-3-1216.115.10.9515.213.02.20
Kevin Gamble3233-0.28-0.22-0.050.16-15-3-1215.415.40.0215.812.63.23
Corliss Williamson4748-0.29-0.21-0.070.24-180-1814.116.6-2.5314.812.72.08
Billy Owens6363-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.07-8-10216.313.82.5012.116.5-4.45
Michael Smith5756-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.21-4-141017.013.33.7012.714.9-2.18
Olden Polynice6162-0.39-0.11-0.270.35-257-3216.413.82.5612.615.5-2.81

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Jordan70700.450.050.40-0.4029-114013.514.2-0.7216.113.62.51
Luc Longley59590.320.180.140.03108212.815.0-2.2316.513.72.76
Scottie Pippen55550.280.220.060.13513-812.415.3-2.8416.813.63.16
Steve Kerr45450.280.220.06-0.191621415.112.52.5514.116.5-2.43
Jason Caffey56570.270.230.04-0.11135814.912.22.7114.316.9-2.62
Dennis Rodman54540.250.25-0.010.19216-1412.615.0-2.4316.514.12.43
Ron Harper47460.210.29-0.080.15216-1412.714.6-1.9816.914.12.84
Jud Buechler35350.160.34-0.18-0.13108215.113.02.1013.316.5-3.26
Robert Parish16150.160.34-0.18-0.281531212.713.9-1.1314.515.6-1.09
Randy Brown45460.120.38-0.270.35-826-3414.213.30.9214.016.6-2.64
Dickey Simpkins13130.000.50-0.500.12-422-2618.513.05.4811.716.0-4.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 84, TOR 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
SEA 81, SAS 1030.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
SAC 88, SAS 1220.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%