NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	75		Excitement	5.2 [760]		MVP	Dikembe Mutombo (ATL): +10.1%
Atlanta Hawks	86		Comeback	1.1 [1176]		LVP	Elden Campbell (LAL): -21.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Jerome Kersey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	14	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	3	44%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
George McCloud	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	3	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Byron Scott	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	6	44%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Nick Van Exel	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.21	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.05	0.01	15	26%	-0.20	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.01	15	75%	0.21	4	-0.11	6	83%	-0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.01	0.03	16	75%	0.17	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	18	44%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Henry James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.5	26.6	15.4	26.9	2.0	25.2	120.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +49.9%

LAL -3.8%

ATL +6.6%

LAL -5.1%

ATL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	17.4	15.6	88.2	98.9	104.4
season	15.3	16.4		105.8	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.7		100.3	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.3	13.7	15.0	17.7	16.1
ATL	13.8	17.6	17.8	21.2	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	13.3	16.2	-2.83	14.3	17.5	-3.19
George McCloud	36	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-11	11	17.1	15.3	1.73	17.2	17.6	-0.44
Derek Fisher	38	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-14	17	17.7	14.7	2.99	17.7	17.2	0.55
Sean Rooks	11	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-12	13	18.4	15.7	2.65	16.0	17.7	-1.66
Corie Blount	30	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-9	7	15.2	16.5	-1.28	17.9	17.1	0.80
Travis Knight	38	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	0	-11	16.2	15.9	0.27	15.6	18.7	-3.07
Jerome Kersey	46	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-4	-3	16.0	16.1	-0.13	18.1	16.7	1.35
Byron Scott	31	33	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-4	-3	17.5	15.2	2.29	18.7	16.6	2.12
Eddie Jones	70	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-3	-5	15.2	19.9	-4.62	17.3	17.7	-0.39
Elden Campbell	75	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-1	-9	15.8	18.0	-2.20	17.7	15.9	1.74
Nick Van Exel	47	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	3	-17	14.7	17.7	-2.99	17.2	17.7	-0.55

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Corbin	80	77	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.16	17	-6	23	17.7	13.7	4.02	15.6	20.5	-4.90
Mookie Blaylock	82	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-5	21	17.7	13.0	4.68	15.6	23.2	-7.59
Dikembe Mutombo	79	78	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	1	9	17.7	14.1	3.62	16.2	15.0	1.15
Christian Laettner	64	65	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	1	9	16.4	20.3	-3.87	16.8	13.5	3.35
Steven Smith	80	78	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	1	9	17.6	15.3	2.31	16.4	12.6	3.80
Alan Henderson	25	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	9	-7	20.5	16.2	4.30	14.5	16.6	-2.11
Eldridge Recasner	18	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	15	-19	13.3	18.5	-5.21	15.3	16.2	-0.92
Henry James	7	8	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	17	-23	13.7	17.7	-4.02	20.5	15.6	4.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.74,0.56,0.5,0.63,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 73, WAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.98,1,1	94.9%
NYK 88, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1	94.3%
SEA 98, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%