NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	88		Excitement	5.1 [768]		MVP	Keon Clark (TOR): +5.5%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	1.1 [954]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -16.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	4	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.04	8	65%	-0.00	0	0.00	10	90%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	17	61%	0.12	5	-0.13	10	80%	-0.01
Glen Rice	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	9	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.06	0.07	15	52%	-0.07	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	59%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	57%	0.00	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	23	46%	0.01	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	5	33%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	15	47%	-0.04	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	9	45%	-0.03	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	33.3	21.4	23.4	3.4	41.2	150.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +13.2%

TOR +4.2%

TOR +17.8%

TOR +11.7%

TOR +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	16.4	16.0	15.5	98.9	110.1	100.9
season	16.4	15.8		99.2	103.7
opponent	15.4	16.1		101.6	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.3	19.6	16.1	13.8	16.4
TOR	16.4	15.6	14.5	17.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	54	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-11	12	16.0	16.9	-0.87	16.8	14.8	1.93
Othella Harrington	32	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-3	-4	18.5	15.2	3.29	17.3	15.3	2.05
Charlie Ward	23	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.11	-11	1	-12	15.9	16.5	-0.66	15.3	16.2	-0.91
Kurt Thomas	63	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-9	8	16.8	15.4	1.38	16.0	16.0	-0.06
Mark Jackson	50	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-1	-8	16.4	16.3	0.18	15.1	17.2	-2.15
Latrell Sprewell	80	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-7	4	16.0	19.6	-3.56	15.9	17.1	-1.24
Allan Houston	76	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	-2	-6	16.7	14.2	2.58	15.8	17.5	-1.73
Larry Johnson	67	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	2	-14	15.4	19.4	-4.05	16.1	15.7	0.40

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	55	56	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.02	22	-12	34	15.6	16.6	-1.00	16.6	15.9	0.72
Vince Carter	83	82	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-4	18	15.9	17.5	-1.61	16.0	21.0	-5.04
Antonio Davis	73	71	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.18	13	-3	16	15.8	16.8	-0.99	15.7	18.8	-3.10
Charles Oakley	62	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	2	6	15.5	17.1	-1.65	15.5	18.0	-2.48
Chris Childs	46	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	9	-8	17.6	14.3	3.24	15.8	17.0	-1.28
Alvin Williams	54	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	5	0	14.4	18.4	-3.96	16.6	16.1	0.50
Keon Clark	30	32	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	12	-14	17.1	15.4	1.66	18.1	15.4	2.76
Jerome Williams	18	18	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	16	-22	19.2	15.2	4.04	18.7	15.8	2.96
Dell Curry	5	7	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	9	-8	14.4	16.1	-1.70	17.3	16.3	1.01
Tracy Murray	19	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	16	-22	16.2	16.0	0.20	17.7	16.0	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 93, LAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
ATL 86, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MIN 91, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.9%