inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 123 Excitement3.7 [1031] MVPScottie Pippen (CHI): +15.7%
Chicago Bulls 134 Comeback1.2 [1241] LVPAntonio McDyess (DEN): -7.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dale Ellis0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.250.010.1111100%0.1600.005100%0.01
Mark Jackson0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.010.04982%0.094-0.074100%0.03
Kenny Smith0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.080.000.07590%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ervin Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.000.01753%0.0000.0010%-0.01
Tom Hammonds-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Brooks Thompson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Ricky Pierce-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.000.06669%-0.021-0.011100%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.040,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.031143%-0.021-0.01887%0.01
Bryant Stith-0.040,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.011345%-0.011-0.02560%-0.01
Antonio McDyess-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.010.041468%0.016-0.09978%0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scottie Pippen0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.300.010.162777%0.181-0.027100%0.01
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.180.000.078100%0.1200.002100%0.00
Ron Harper0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.110.000.03692%0.0800.0000%0.00
Michael Jordan0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.000.031860%0.0600.00475%0.00
Jason Caffey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03653%0.0200.00757%-0.02
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luc Longley0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.01837%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Parish0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.00-0.041438%-0.022-0.021100%0.00
Dennis Rodman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.140.00-0.07525%-0.014-0.05250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.11.828.015.823.01.826.3119.8
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +22.3%
DEN -7.0%
CHI +20.0%
CHI +16.2%
DEN -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENCHINBADENCHINBA
this game16.014.515.6130.9141.1104.4
season15.215.5102.3110.5
opponent16.115.399.8108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.616.918.712.916.0
CHI13.215.112.717.114.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenny Smith1919-0.01-0.490.48-0.248-192713.116.7-3.6017.713.74.04
Brooks Thompson67-0.06-0.440.38-0.00-2-9711.316.3-4.9614.614.50.07
Tom Hammonds3940-0.10-0.400.29-0.224-151914.716.9-2.1514.814.30.51
Dale Ellis5253-0.13-0.370.24-0.306-172314.917.3-2.4515.213.61.55
Ricky Pierce3638-0.18-0.320.14-0.335-162113.217.7-4.5615.913.62.36
Bryant Stith5958-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-143-1717.413.53.8813.416.3-2.89
Ervin Johnson4545-0.35-0.15-0.210.06-143-1716.715.31.4514.614.40.26
LaPhonso Ellis6262-0.43-0.07-0.360.16-209-2917.612.84.7513.416.5-3.08
Mark Jackson6969-0.43-0.07-0.360.07-176-2317.212.74.4913.616.9-3.28
Antonio McDyess8384-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.16-110-1115.817.1-1.2614.812.42.42

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Jordan65650.54-0.040.570.0118-72513.416.9-3.4516.514.81.66
Scottie Pippen84820.350.150.200.1474314.415.3-0.8715.717.7-1.93
Ron Harper48490.340.160.17-0.0513-21514.214.8-0.5617.414.52.90
Jason Caffey37360.290.210.080.26110-915.713.81.9214.317.0-2.71
Steve Kerr47460.260.240.020.32-213-1516.112.93.2114.817.1-2.26
Dennis Rodman67670.240.26-0.02-0.0292714.514.40.1116.714.22.46
Luc Longley52520.240.26-0.02-0.1112-11313.316.0-2.7316.914.82.16
Toni Kukoc55540.220.28-0.060.22011-1114.714.20.4815.616.4-0.82
Jud Buechler12110.040.46-0.420.07-112-1315.914.31.6213.016.4-3.37
Robert Parish88-0.010.51-0.530.05-213-1515.414.40.9514.216.1-1.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 95, SAC 1080.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
ATL 83, CHA 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
TOR 87, MIL 1080.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%