NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	106		Excitement	10.0 [65]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +20.3%
Toronto Raptors	102		Comeback	4.1 [216]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): -36.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.20	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.14	0.00	27	59%	0.27	2	-0.07	9	78%	0.01
Armen Gilliam	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	13	65%	0.13	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.10
Chucky Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	86%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.04
David Wood	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	3	12%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Elliot Perry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	6	64%	0.08	5	-0.20	2	0%	-0.03
Vin Baker	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.12	-0.19	0.04	-0.02	15	37%	0.01	3	-0.13	11	45%	-0.10
Johnny Newman	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	14	38%	-0.13	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	10	70%	0.11	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.08
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Clifford Rozier	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	55%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Sharone Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	11	57%	0.08	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	18	47%	-0.09	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	8	43%	-0.02	2	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.14	-0.11	-0.01	6	29%	-0.25	0	0.00	12	25%	-0.21
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.31,-0.31,-0.36	-0.36	-0.22	-0.20	-0.05	16	34%	-0.13	7	-0.24	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	30.5	15.3	29.1	1.8	47.2	152.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +41.8%

MIL +15.9%

TOR -7.2%

TOR -0.5%

TOR -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	TOR	NBA	MIL	TOR	NBA
this game	13.1	14.2	15.6	100.0	97.1	104.4
season	16.0	16.1		103.9	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.5		105.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.3	11.3	12.4	13.5	13.1
TOR	11.8	16.4	14.2	14.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	64	63	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.40	14	-10	24	13.7	12.3	1.39	15.5	12.3	3.20
Armen Gilliam	93	92	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.33	12	-8	20	12.9	15.0	-2.14	14.6	11.0	3.63
Elliot Perry	61	62	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.27	9	-5	14	12.4	14.1	-1.64	14.1	14.3	-0.17
Glenn Robinson	96	95	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	-3	10	12.9	15.1	-2.18	14.4	11.9	2.52
Vin Baker	89	89	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.35	-5	9	-14	13.7	10.2	3.44	13.7	16.9	-3.18
David Wood	9	8	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.10	7	-3	10	8.4	13.6	-5.11	17.5	13.9	3.59
Chucky Brown	24	23	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	10	-16	13.8	12.9	0.92	12.4	14.7	-2.24
Sherman Douglas	45	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	9	-14	14.1	12.4	1.64	14.3	14.1	0.17
Joe Wolf	3	4	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	9	-14	17.0	13.0	3.99	13.0	14.2	-1.23
Johnny Newman	46	46	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.04	-8	12	-20	12.5	13.6	-1.02	12.4	15.6	-3.22

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Rogers	58	59	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.03	5	-9	14	12.1	16.8	-4.76	13.7	12.4	1.37
Reggie Slater	29	30	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-4	4	13.7	14.4	-0.73	14.0	12.8	1.22
Marcus Camby	59	58	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.39	10	-14	24	12.9	15.8	-2.81	13.1	13.2	-0.08
Clifford Rozier	26	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	2	-8	19.2	12.5	6.61	12.7	13.2	-0.54
Sharone Wright	6	7	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	5	-14	17.8	14.0	3.87	9.0	13.4	-4.41
Oliver Miller	63	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.47	8	-12	20	12.6	16.6	-4.06	13.5	12.5	0.92
Doug Christie	60	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.52	6	-10	16	13.6	15.0	-1.39	13.3	12.9	0.37
Popeye Jones	51	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	13	-30	16.3	12.2	4.07	13.0	13.2	-0.16
Walt Williams	84	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	4	-12	14.7	12.3	2.37	12.5	15.2	-2.68
Damon Stoudamire	89	90	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.37	-9	5	-14	14.8	10.9	3.83	13.1	13.2	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.2,0.18,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 93, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.41,0.6,0.71,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.85,0.64,0.23,0.16,0	90.4%
SAS 98, SEA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.31,0.64,0.31,0.17,0	90.3%
ORL 106, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.75,0.63,0.45,0.15,0	90.3%