NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	108		Excitement	9.1 [114]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +37.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	111		Comeback	2.3 [681]		LVP	Gary Trent (POR): -24.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Johnson	0.20	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2	0.15	0.06	-0.00	16	76%	0.27	2	-0.07	10	80%	-0.00
Wesley Person	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13	0.10	0.05	0.02	17	59%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dexter Boney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	7	52%	-0.08	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.07
Cedric Ceballos	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.26,-0.17,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	18	47%	0.01	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.03
Loren Meyer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	4	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wayman Tisdale	-0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.01	-0.09	0.02	14	50%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.32,0.37	0.37	0.18	0.19	0.00	14	79%	0.37	0	0.00	10	80%	0.08
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.10	0.01	19	66%	0.28	2	-0.09	12	83%	0.06
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	86%	0.17	1	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	12	48%	-0.04	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Marcus Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	2	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	7	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.15	0.01	10	46%	-0.09	3	-0.16	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.6	27.2	15.7	29.3	1.8	39.2	138.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +24.2%

POR +21.0%

POR +12.2%

PHX -20.5%

POR +13.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	15.9	14.4	15.6	113.7	116.8	104.4
season	14.6	15.5		106.8	105.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		101.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.4	15.0	16.1	16.2	15.9
POR	13.7	15.6	14.5	13.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dexter Boney	2	1	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-1	-1	0.0	16.3	-16.27	8.0	14.5	-6.46
Steve Nash	14	13	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	6	-15	15.2	16.0	-0.84	12.8	14.6	-1.79
Loren Meyer	20	19	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	6	-15	14.9	16.2	-1.24	12.3	14.9	-2.59
Kevin Johnson	83	85	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.54	9	-12	21	16.0	15.3	0.68	14.2	16.0	-1.80
Mark Bryant	73	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-6	9	16.5	14.1	2.39	15.0	12.5	2.53
Cedric Ceballos	82	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-7	11	16.0	15.5	0.54	14.9	11.5	3.47
Danny Manning	51	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	1	-5	14.8	17.3	-2.51	14.4	14.3	0.12
Wayman Tisdale	65	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	3	-9	16.6	14.5	2.13	14.1	15.0	-0.90
Wesley Person	85	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-2	1	16.2	13.6	2.60	14.5	13.6	0.92

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	64	64	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.32	16	-13	29	13.8	15.7	-1.91	15.6	16.5	-0.92
Stacey Augmon	50	52	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.37	11	-8	19	14.2	14.6	-0.44	16.0	15.8	0.21
Kenny Anderson	74	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-2	7	14.1	15.6	-1.52	15.8	16.4	-0.57
Clifford Robinson	74	72	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.32	-1	4	-5	14.1	15.5	-1.46	16.1	15.5	0.53
Chris Dudley	61	61	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.49	-8	11	-19	13.7	15.6	-1.96	14.9	17.7	-2.77
Jermaine O'Neal	12	13	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	-5	13	16.1	14.1	1.94	17.6	15.7	1.96
Marcus Brown	21	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	5	-7	15.6	14.1	1.52	16.4	15.8	0.57
Gary Trent	63	64	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.12	-8	11	-19	15.4	12.3	3.13	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	56	54	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	9	-15	14.9	13.6	1.31	16.7	14.9	1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.78,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 95, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.77,0.98,1	92.7%
PHX 102, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.61,0.63,0.91,0.85,1	92.1%
NOP 106, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.76,0.85,1	91.9%