NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	9.0 [178]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +23.1%
Houston Rockets	108		Comeback	1.8 [1010]		LVP	Deandre Ayton (PHX): -23.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richaun Holmes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	9	57%	0.12	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.06	-0.01	14	71%	0.18	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Dragan Bender	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.07,0,0	-0.01	-0.03	-0.04	22	53%	0.16	5	-0.16	11	91%	0.08
Troy Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	15	38%	-0.19	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.14
Deandre Ayton	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.10	-0.12	0.01	14	53%	0.02	7	-0.26	4	75%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.16	0.02	25	61%	0.37	6	-0.14	17	82%	-0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11	0.11	0.12	-0.00	0.01	11	75%	0.19	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	56%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	67%	0.12	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	18	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.2	25.8	14.0	26.0	1.8	39.2	135.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +37.6%

HOU +4.6%

PHX -20.5%

HOU +26.1%

HOU +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	12.7	14.3	97.1	101.9	109.3
season	14.4	14.8		104.8	114.0
opponent	14.4	14.0		109.3	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.8	14.9	15.5	15.3	14.6
HOU	12.5	10.8	12.2	16.0	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richaun Holmes	32	35	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.03	3	-9	12	15.3	14.2	1.08	13.0	12.6	0.34
Dragan Bender	49	49	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.06	6	-12	18	13.7	15.4	-1.70	11.0	14.2	-3.25
Troy Daniels	36	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-2	-2	14.0	14.9	-0.86	12.2	13.0	-0.88
Jamal Crawford	38	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	2	-10	16.0	13.8	2.21	13.4	12.4	0.97
Kelly Oubre Jr.	80	81	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-7	8	14.3	15.3	-0.99	12.5	13.5	-1.01
Devin Booker	81	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-5	4	14.4	15.2	-0.84	13.0	11.8	1.18
Mikal Bridges	80	81	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	0	-6	14.6	14.5	0.06	12.7	13.0	-0.28
Josh Jackson	56	57	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.26	-12	6	-18	15.4	13.7	1.70	14.2	11.0	3.25
Deandre Ayton	73	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.35	-9	3	-12	14.2	15.3	-1.08	12.6	13.0	-0.34

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	72	71	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.38	8	-2	10	12.6	13.1	-0.59	14.6	14.5	0.09
Clint Capela	72	72	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	1	4	12.7	12.9	-0.16	14.7	14.3	0.42
Eric Gordon	75	72	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.33	8	-2	10	12.7	12.9	-0.27	15.0	13.5	1.48
James Harden	91	90	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	3	0	13.0	10.9	2.11	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Danuel House Jr.	78	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	2	2	12.7	12.7	-0.01	14.3	15.1	-0.80
Iman Shumpert	39	40	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	3	0	13.5	12.3	1.21	14.3	14.7	-0.34
Kenneth Faried	34	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.10	1	5	-4	12.9	12.7	0.16	14.3	14.7	-0.42
Austin Rivers	42	43	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.11	1	5	-4	12.9	12.7	0.22	14.4	14.7	-0.28
Gerald Green	27	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	9	-12	11.1	13.3	-2.14	14.7	14.5	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.61,0.63,0.91,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 92, NOP 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.28,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.84,0.84,1	93.3%
BOS 75, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.79,0.99,1,1	92.7%
CHI 87, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.61,0.46,0.77,0.85,1	92.1%