NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	101		Excitement	6.9 [434]		MVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): +24.7%
New Jersey Nets	113		Comeback	1.2 [861]		LVP	Kevin Johnson (PHX): -19.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.00	15	62%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.03	4	64%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mark Bryant	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Hot Rod Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Meyer	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	39%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Danny Manning	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	14	34%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Johnson	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.08	0.02	19	54%	-0.03	6	-0.16	10	80%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.18	0.08	0.01	16	74%	0.25	0	0.00	11	100%	0.07
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	16	57%	0.20	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.09	15	69%	0.10	2	-0.08	6	83%	-0.02
Yinka Dare	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.03	-0.05	22	35%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	6	25%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	28.4	15.5	24.5	3.3	35.7	132.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +13.5%

NJN +26.0%

NJN +6.2%

NJN +5.6%

PHX -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NJN	NBA	PHX	NJN	NBA
this game	14.0	16.2	15.6	107.4	117.7	104.4
season	14.6	15.4		106.8	101.7
opponent	14.9	15.6		106.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.3	11.6	15.5	14.3	14.0
NJN	16.7	15.5	18.0	15.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	37	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.11	1	-13	14	13.4	14.5	-1.14	16.9	15.8	1.11
Wesley Person	74	77	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-8	4	13.2	17.3	-4.14	15.8	17.9	-2.12
Mark Bryant	42	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-6	0	13.4	14.6	-1.20	15.7	16.7	-0.99
Danny Manning	46	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-5	-2	13.7	14.4	-0.64	17.9	14.8	3.13
Loren Meyer	49	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-2	-8	15.6	12.3	3.28	17.3	15.1	2.19
Hot Rod Williams	61	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	1	-14	14.5	13.3	1.19	15.7	17.3	-1.60
Cedric Ceballos	77	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-3	-6	14.6	11.4	3.28	15.9	17.8	-1.87
Kevin Johnson	84	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	0	-12	13.9	15.5	-1.63	15.8	19.6	-3.82

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	90	86	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	0	12	16.4	14.2	2.22	14.3	11.6	2.64
Shawn Bradley	55	52	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	0	12	17.5	14.6	2.95	15.4	12.4	2.96
Kerry Kittles	85	83	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	3	6	16.0	18.2	-2.18	13.8	15.7	-1.91
Jayson Williams	82	82	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-1	14	15.2	22.5	-7.32	13.5	17.4	-3.87
Khalid Reeves	62	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	0	12	15.8	17.1	-1.34	14.1	13.9	0.16
Xavier McDaniel	45	43	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	8	-4	16.4	16.1	0.28	13.6	14.4	-0.81
Ed O'Bannon	27	27	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.04	2	10	-8	18.2	15.5	2.69	14.5	13.9	0.62
Tony Massenburg	23	23	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	13	-14	18.2	15.6	2.53	15.1	13.7	1.44
Yinka Dare	11	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	15	-18	12.0	16.8	-4.80	9.0	14.6	-5.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 95, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	94.7%
CLE 84, ORL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.96,1	94.5%
ORL 87, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%