NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Excitement	5.9 [597]		MVP	Rony Seikaly (ORL): +32.2%
Orlando Magic	89		Comeback	1.0 [992]		LVP	Dennis Scott (ORL): -29.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	83%	0.13	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.08
Danny Ferry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	8	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Terrell Brandon	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	16	62%	0.13	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Phills	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	15	50%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Lang	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	7	35%	-0.06	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Bob Sura	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	4	30%	-0.01	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.32	0.32	0.13	0.16	-0.03	26	61%	0.35	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.05	0.01	12	71%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	79%	0.14	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	13	44%	0.02	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.18	-0.12	0.00	14	28%	-0.20	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	26.3	15.8	23.6	2.7	35.4	127.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +6.9%

ORL +8.8%

ORL +43.7%

CLE -7.6%

CLE -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	17.4	18.4	15.6	103.7	111.2	104.4
season	17.8	16.4		102.1	102.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		103.5	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.8	17.6	19.5	15.8	17.4
ORL	16.0	18.4	19.4	20.2	18.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	5	6	-0.02	-0.47	0.45	-0.02	0	-5	5	16.0	17.5	-1.46	13.7	18.8	-5.13
Bob Sura	32	33	-0.13	-0.36	0.23	-0.22	3	-8	11	14.9	19.0	-4.07	19.6	17.6	1.98
Antonio Lang	30	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-5	5	16.1	18.1	-1.96	18.0	18.6	-0.63
Mark West	22	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-3	1	15.8	18.0	-2.19	19.4	18.0	1.37
Tyrone Hill	60	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-3	1	18.2	14.9	3.33	18.7	17.7	1.01
Danny Ferry	65	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-2	-1	17.6	16.5	1.08	18.5	18.1	0.34
Terrell Brandon	67	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	0	-5	17.3	17.6	-0.24	18.5	18.1	0.34
Chris Mills	60	60	-0.44	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	1	-7	17.9	16.0	1.91	18.7	17.6	1.02
Bobby Phills	64	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	5	-15	18.4	13.5	4.86	17.5	21.9	-4.48

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wilkins	70	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	-3	11	18.7	16.7	1.96	17.4	17.4	-0.03
Rony Seikaly	67	68	0.52	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	-1	7	18.5	17.9	0.58	18.2	12.9	5.30
Brian Shaw	67	68	0.45	0.04	0.41	0.30	5	0	5	17.7	22.1	-4.38	17.7	15.5	2.27
Horace Grant	56	58	0.39	0.10	0.29	0.22	6	-1	7	18.4	18.4	0.05	17.2	17.9	-0.70
Dennis Scott	68	70	0.39	0.10	0.29	0.30	3	2	1	18.2	19.3	-1.08	17.3	17.8	-0.52
Darrell Armstrong	36	35	0.17	0.32	-0.15	0.14	1	4	-3	19.1	17.9	1.22	16.3	18.2	-1.81
Derek Strong	32	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	6	-7	18.8	18.2	0.61	16.1	18.1	-2.01
David Vaughn	4	4	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	8	-11	18.0	18.4	-0.43	19.5	17.3	2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, NJN 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1	94.5%
PHI 98, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.92,1	94.2%
CLE 85, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.99,1	94.0%